Los Angeles Lakers vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Prediction 02/25/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Memphis Grizzlies (23-38) will be 5-point underdogs at home in FedExForum when they square off with the Los Angeles Lakers (29-30). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 221.5 points and action starts at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, February 25, 2019.

Los Angeles Lakers at Memphis Grizzlies Betting Odds

Both teams fell in their last contest. The Grizzlies (1.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Cleveland Cavaliers, 112-107, while the Lakers (6.5-point favorites) fell to the New Orleans Pelicans, 128-115. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Memphis game finished 9.5 points over the projected point total of 209.5, while the Los Angeles game finished 8.5 points over the projected point total of 234.5.

Los Angeles had a free throw rate of 0.210 (above their season average of 0.182) while Memphis forced Cleveland into a turnover percentage of 15.5 (above their season average of 11.7). Memphis rallied around Jonas Valanciunas, who contributed 25 points and 11 rebounds. LeBron James had a solid performance for Los Angeles, putting up 27 points, 12 assists and seven rebounds.

The Grizzlies had the upper hand in the most recent game, a 107-99 victory, to even the season series at one. In the loss, James had a double-double with 22 points and 14 rebounds. The Grizzlies’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Lakers. Memphis had a rate of 8.6, while Los Angeles posted a mark of 15.9. Memphis covered as a 5-point underdog and the two teams combined to score 206 points, which was just under the projected point total of 210.

Of the Lakers’ 59 games, 35 have finished under the projected point total. Los Angeles heads into the game with records of 29-30 straight up (SU) and 25-32-2 against the spread (ATS).

Similarly to Los Angeles, Grizzlies games also have typically finished under the total (59.0 percent). Additionally, Memphis is 23-38 SU and 26-34-1 ATS.

This game should be a battle of opposite styles. Los Angeles has preferred an up-and-down style of play (second in possessions per game), while Memphis has been more methodical (30th in possessions per game).

Los Angeles Lakers at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Grizzlies rank fourth in assists allowed per game (23.0) while the Lakers rank 18th (24.7).
  • Los Angeles ranks third in fast break points per game (18.8) while Memphis ranks 27th in fast break points allowed per game (15.3).
  • The Grizzlies rank seventh in points off turnovers per game (18.1) while the Lakers rank 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.7).
  • Memphis ranks seventh in steals per game (8.5) while Los Angeles ranks 26th in steals allowed per game (8.6).
  • Memphis ranks fifth in second chance points allowed per game (11.8) while Los Angeles ranks 20th (13.8).
  • The Lakers rank fifth in rebounds per game (46.9) while the Grizzlies rank 29th (40.5).
  • The Grizzlies average 5.7 blocks per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Lakers rank 20th in blocks allowed per game (5.3).
  • Los Angeles ranks 19th in three pointers attempted per game (30.4) while Memphis ranks 26th (27.5).
  • Memphis ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.5) while Los Angeles ranks 23rd (50.7).
  • Los Angeles is 7-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Memphis is 13-6.
  • The Grizzlies are 14-15 when they score more than 100 points, while the Lakers are 28-24.
  • Memphis is 15-15 ATS at home, while Los Angeles is 14-16 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 16 of the Grizzlies’ 30 home games, while 16 of the Lakers’ 30 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Los Angeles and Memphis are both 2-3 ATS.
  • The Lakers have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Grizzlies have 4 overs and 1 under
  • The Lakers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.8, up from 1.3 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 105.8 points per game (5.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.8 points per game (4.8 above their season average).