The San Diego Padres will go for their fourth consecutive win as they play host to the Los Angeles Dodgers at PETCO Park. The action will get going at 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will broadcast the game.
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Odds
The Padres are 7-10 SU and 7-9 ATS. The team’s lost 1.6 units for moneyline bettors and 4.8 units against the spread (ATS). San Diego has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven. The Dodgers have gone 5-9 SU this year and are 3-10 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 10.7 units for moneyline gamblers this year and 7.2 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Padres games have a 6-9-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 6-7.
The Dodgers have lost 9.4 units and are 1-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to two that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Padres have netted 2.4 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in three of those games, as opposed to three which went under the total.
Left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu is projected to start for Los Angeles. Ryu is 1-0 with a 2.79 ERA and 10 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 5.40 ERA and five strikeouts across five innings).
The Padres will be sending lefty Robbie Erlin (0-1, 2.38 ERA) to the mound. Erlin has nine punchouts and two walks to his credit, as well as a 0.79 WHIP. Erlin did not pitch in the majors in 2017.
San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.07 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 1.84, a WHIP of 1.00 and a K/9 of 10.3. In 11 divisional games, Padres starters have an ERA of 4.17 and the bullpen’s ERA is 1.64.
The San Diego offense is putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .227/.308/.399 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Padres’ hitters have been led by third baseman Christian Villanueva and left fielder Jose Pirela. Villanueva is slashing .293/.396/.756 with 12 hits, five homers, 11 RBIs and seven runs scored, while Pirela is batting .324 with 24 hits, 10 RBIs and 12 runs.
For the visiting squad, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.55 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 9.95 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.47, along with a WHIP of 1.13.
Dodgers hitters have slashed .239/.306/.360 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this year, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Yasmani Grandal and Chase Utley have led Los Angeles’ offense. Grandal is slashing .359/.444/.564 with 14 hits, five RBIs and six runs scored, while Utley (.333/.417/.500) is up to 10 hits, six RBIs and three runs scored.
Grandal seemed to have some trouble hitting lefty pitching on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of .143/.250/.238 across 48 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .247/.308/.459).
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The Dodgers have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
- Los Angeles has recorded 23.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.0 over its last five.
