Cody Bellinger and the surging Los Angeles Dodgers will be taking on their cross-country foe Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in a Thursday showdown. The game will begin at 12:35 p.m. ET and this NL showdown will be televised on YouT.
Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Vegas has placed matching moneyline odds (-105) on both of these teams. You can play matchup’s total with current odds sitting at +105 for over 9.5 runs and -125 for under 9.5. There’s a runline of Dodgers -1.5 (+140) and Phillies +1.5 (-160) for this matchup.
The Dodgers are 64-34 SU and are 45-52 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 11.8 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 5.7 units ATS. Los Angeles is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 49-47 SU and 45-50 ATS. The team has lost 4.2 units for moneyline bettors and 5.8 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Neither team has been a strong over/under bet this year. Phillies games have a 46-45-4 over/under record so far in 2019. The Dodgers have an over/under record of 46-44-7.
The right-handed Ross Stripling will get the start for the visiting Dodgers. Stripling (4-3, 3.65 ERA) has racked up 69 strikeouts in 66.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies are putting the ball in the hands of righty Aaron Nola (8-2, 3.63 ERA), who’s got 133 strikeouts and 48 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.31. Nola has yet to face the Dodgers this year, but he made two starts against them in 2018, putting together a 1-0 record with a 3.00 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.03 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 9.08 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.09, along with a K-per-9 of 9.18.
Dodgers hitters have slashed .263/.347/.471 on their way to 5.4 runs scored per game this year, including 6.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 9.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
First baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner have led Los Angeles’ offense. Bellinger is slashing .336/.431/.702 with 34 home runs, 77 RBIs and 77 runs scored, while Turner (.295/.372/.467) has produced 12 homers, 39 RBIs and 53 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.60, a WHIP of 1.37 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 5.04 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .190/.271/.387 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ offense has been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is slashing .280/.332/.410 with seven home runs, 41 RBIs and 44 runs scored, and Segura’s line sits at .270/.315/.434 with 10 homers, 41 RBIs and 56 runs.
The Dodgers have gained 9.8 units and are 34-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 30 of those games, as opposed to 28 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 3.3 units and are 34-36 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 33 of those games, as opposed to 33 that’ve cashed the under.
Dodgers vs. Phillies MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in four of Los Angeles’ last seven contests.
- The Dodgers have won four of their last five games SU.
- The Los Angeles defense has permitted nine errors over the last five outin, compared to just three errors for Philadelphia over its last five.
- The Dodgers have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games, including 16 over their last five.
- The Dodgers have a total OPS of .818 this season and an OPS of .821 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS stands at .744 overall and .734 versus righties.
