Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins Free Pick

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Cody Bellinger and the surging Los Angeles Dodgers will be taking the field against the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park in a Wednesday night game. Spectrum SportsNet LA will be showing this NL matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Bookmakers have Miami (+230) as the underdog to Los Angeles (-260). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to go under 8 runs, then Vegas is offering -110 odds. Taking the over can return -110 odds. There’s a runline of Dodgers -1.5 (-165) and Marlins +1.5 (+145) for this matchup.

The Marlins are 60-57 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 44-74 straight up (SU). The team has lost 5.3 units for moneyline bettors and 6.9 units ATS. The Dodgers have gone 80-41 SU this year and are 59-61 against the spread. In total, the club has gained 17.3 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 0.6 units ATS.

Miami games have a 53-54-10 over/under record in 2019. Dodgers games have gone under 59 times, gone over 54 times and pushed on seven occasions.

Clayton Kershaw is getting the start for Los Angeles. The left-handed Kershaw is 11-2 with a 2.77 ERA and 131 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Miami this year.

The Marlins will put the ball in the right hand of Elieser Hernandez (2-4, 4.94 ERA), who has 48 strikeouts and 18 walks as well as a 1.27 WHIP. Hernandez is 0-1 with a 54.00 ERA against Los Angeles this year.

Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.89 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 9.20 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.06, along with a WHIP of 1.04.

Dodgers hitters have slashed .260/.343/.471 on their way to 5.5 runs scored per game this season, including 6.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

First baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner continue to lead Los Angeles’ offense. Bellinger is slashing .316/.414/.663 with 39 home runs, 90 RBIs and 93 runs scored, while Turner is hitting .288 with 20 homers, 55 RBIs and 69 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.35, a WHIP of 1.27 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 4.90 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.

Miami’s offense has produced 3.6 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .299/.354/.429 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Marlins’ offense has been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Miguel Rojas. Castro is hitting .260/.285/.382 with 11 home runs, 54 RBIs and 38 runs scored, and the line for Rojas stands at .289/.344/.384 with four homers, 33 RBIs and 44 runs.

The Dodgers have gained 14.6 units and are 44-38 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 36 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have netted 0.0 units and are 19-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 17 of those games, compared to 11 that went under the total.

Dodgers vs. Marlins Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in just one of Miami’s last seven games.
  • The Dodgers have won eight of their last nine games SU while the Marlins have dropped three of their last four.
  • The Los Angeles defense has permitted zero errors over the last five outin, compared to three errors for Miami over its last five.
  • The Dodgers have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.
  • The Dodgers have a team OPS of .815 this season and an OPS of .823 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS stands at .665 overall and .650 versus righties.