The Los Angeles Dodgers will be taking the field against their in-state foe San Diego Padres in a Thursday showdown. Spectrum SportsNet LA is in line to showcase the matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 3:40 p.m. ET.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Odds
The Dodgers have gone 102-56 SU this year and are 76-81 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 12.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having lost 7.9 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 70-88 SU and 72-85 ATS. The team’s lost 20.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 22.4 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Neither squad has been a strong over/under play this season. Padres games have a 74-74-9 over/under record in 2019. The Dodgers have an over/under record of 72-74-11.
Clayton Kershaw will get the nod for the visiting Dodgers. The left-handed Kershaw is 15-5 with a 3.15 ERA and 181 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with 25 strikeouts and a 3.12 ERA against San Diego this year (four starts).
The Padres will turn to lefty Joey Lucchesi (10-9, 4.28 ERA), who’s got 152 strikeouts and 54 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.24. Lucchesi is 1-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 5.29 ERA over three starts against Los Angeles this year.
San Diego’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.58 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 72 divisional games, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.40 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.07.
The San Diego offense is putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .182/.278/.285 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Padres’ offense has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is hitting .269/.315/.427 with 21 home runs, 97 RBIs and 71 runs scored, and Machado’s line sits at .252/.332/.451 with 30 homers, 82 RBIs and 79 runs.
In the other dugout, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.17 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 9.41 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.96, along with a WHIP of 1.07 and a K-per-9 of 9.42.
The Dodgers offense has slashed .258/.340/.473 on its way to 5.5 runs scored per game this year, including 5.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Los Angeles’ hitters have been led by first baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner, who collectively have blasted 73 home runs. Bellinger is slashing .301/.402/.623 with 46 home runs, 114 RBIs, 118 runs and 15 steals. Turner (.290/.372/.509) has produced 27 homers, 67 RBIs and 80 runs scored.
The Dodgers have lost 7.2 units and are 18-33 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 24 of those games, as opposed to 25 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 6.1 units and are 18-16 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 18 which went under the total.
Dodgers at Padres MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Los Angeles has logged 22 extra-base hits over its last five games. San Diego has 10 XBH over its last five.
- The Dodgers have an OPS of .814 this season and an OPS of .790 against left-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS stands at .721 overall and .760 against lefties.
- The Padres have lost five of their last six games SU.
- Los Angeles has posted 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.4 over its last five.
- The Dodgers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
