The Miami Marlins are trying to stave off their fourth consecutive loss as they play host to the Los Angeles Dodgers at Marlins Park. This NL matchup will begin at 3:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Spectrum SportsNet LA to catch the game.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Los Angeles (-250) is the favorite against Miami (+225) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 7.5 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). The game’s current runline odds sit at -160 for picking the Dodgers -1.5 runs and +140 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.
The Marlins are 60-58 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 44-75 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 6.3 units for moneyline bettors and 7.9 units ATS. Miami has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Dodgers are 81-41 SU and have gone 60-61 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 18.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.5 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Marlins games have a 54-54-10 over/under record in 2019. The Dodgers have an over/under record of 55-59-7.
Walker Buehler will get the nod for the visiting Dodgers. The right-handed Buehler (10-2, 3.08 ERA) has recorded 160 strikeouts in 137.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins are putting the ball in the left hand of Caleb Smith (7-6, 3.71 ERA), who has 127 punchouts and 36 walks this season as well as a 1.11 WHIP. Smith has yet to face the Dodgers this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 12.00 ERA and four strikeouts across three innings).
As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.39, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 4.93 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
Miami’s hitters are putting up 3.6 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .243/.301/.331 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Marlins’ offense has been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Miguel Rojas. Castro is slashing .258/.284/.379 with 11 home runs, 54 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while Rojas is hitting .289 with four homers, 33 RBIs and 44 runs.
For the visitors, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.86 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 9.24 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.06, along with a K/9 of 9.23.
The Dodgers offense has slashed .261/.344/.473 on its way to 5.5 runs scored per game this year, including 6.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Los Angeles’ offense has been fueled by first baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner, who collectively have blasted 60 home runs. Bellinger is hitting .317/.414/.660 with 39 home runs, 90 RBIs and 95 runs scored, while Turner (.292/.375/.506) has produced 21 homers, 56 RBIs and 70 runs scored.
The Dodgers have gained 2.6 units and are 15-23 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 6.3 units and are 41-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 37 of those games, as opposed to 43 which went under the total.
Dodgers vs. Marlins MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles has recorded 31 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Miami has nine XBH over its last five.
- The Dodgers have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games, including 15 over their last five.
- The Dodgers have an OPS of .817 this season and an OPS of .766 against left-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS sits at .663 overall and .678 against lefties.
- Miami has posted 21.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.8 over its last five.
- The Dodgers have won nine of their last 10 games SU while the Marlins have lost four of their last five.
