Los Angeles Clippers vs. San Antonio Spurs Free Prediction 12/21/19

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The San Antonio Spurs (11-16) will be 6-point underdogs at home in the AT&T Center when they challenge the Los Angeles Clippers (21-9). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 223 points and it can be seen on FSN Prime Ticket at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 21, 2019.

Los Angeles Clippers vs. San Antonio Spurs ATS Odds

The Spurs were victorious over the Brooklyn Nets in their last matchup, 118-105, comfortably covering as 4.5-point favorites. The Clippers, meanwhile, were beat by the Houston Rockets, 122-117, resulting in a push. Both games went over their projected point totals. The San Antonio game went 3.5 points over the projected point total of 219.5, while the Los Angeles game went 2.5 points over the projected point total of 236.5.

San Antonio played a nearly perfect game. They had a solid turnover percentage of 9.4 (better than their season average of 11.7) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.1 (above their season average of 21.6). Brooklyn was 15.8 and 15.0, respectively, for those same stats. Los Angeles, meanwhile, made 16 of their 37 three pointers (43.2 percent). LaMarcus Aldridge played well for San Antonio with 20 points and 10 rebounds. Los Angeles, meanwhile, received a boost from Paul George, who contributed 34 points and nine rebounds.

The Spurs evened the season series at one with a 107-97 victory in their most recent game. Aldridge was a standout player in the game, producing 17 points, eight rebounds and seven assists. San Antonio had a better turnover percentage (8.3 vs. 12.5). Los Angeles, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (18.4 vs. 17.0). The two teams combined for 204 points, which was well under the projected point total of 224, and San Antonio covered as a 5-point underdog.

Oddsmakers have a tendency to place the total high when the Clippers are involved, as 17 of their 30 games have finished under the projected point total. Los Angeles holds records of 21-9 straight up (SU) and 16-13-1 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Los Angeles, games featuring the Spurs have typically gone over the total (55.6 percent). Further, San Antonio owns records of 11-16 SU and 7-18-2 ATS.

Looking at effective field goal percentage, Los Angeles figures to have a substantial edge. The Clippers defense ranks fourth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.496), while the San Antonio offense is ranked 22nd in effective field goal percentage (0.512).

Clippers at Spurs ATS Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Clippers rank 15th in steals per game (7.9) while the Spurs rank 26th (6.8).
  • Los Angeles averages 48.2 rebounds per game, which ranks second in the NBA. San Antonio ranks 25th in rebounds allowed per game (46.7).
  • The Spurs rank 10th in fast break points per game (14.4) while the Clippers rank 26th in fast break points allowed per game (15.0).
  • San Antonio ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.0) while Los Angeles ranks 15th (17.2).
  • Los Angeles ranks fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (44.3) while San Antonio ranks 17th (48.5).
  • The Clippers rank second in second chance points per game (14.9) while the Spurs rank 24th (12.1).
  • The Clippers rank 17th in three pointers attempted per game (32.6) while the Spurs rank last (26.4).
  • San Antonio averages 5.9 blocks per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 15th in blocks allowed per game (4.9).
  • Los Angeles ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (22.4) while San Antonio ranks 22nd (25.1).
  • When allowing below 100 points, Los Angeles is 10-0 and San Antonio is 1-0.
  • When reaching the century mark, the Spurs are 11-13 and the Clippers are 19-5.
  • Los Angeles is 6-8 ATS on the road, while San Antonio is 4-11 ATS at home.
  • The Clippers have 7 overs and 7 unders in 14 road games.
  • Of the Spurs’ 15 home games, they have 8 overs, 6 unders and 1 push.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Los Angeles and San Antonio have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Spurs are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Clippers are 3-2.
  • During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 112.0 points per game (0.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.8 points per game (4.2 below their season average).
  • The Clippers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.0, up from 7.0 for the season.