The NBA’s top shooting defense will be a 4-point underdog on the road at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter, when the Los Angeles Clippers (12-6) face off with the Portland Trail Blazers (12-7). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 227.5 points and action starts at 9 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 25, 2018.
Los Angeles Clippers at Portland Trail Blazers Betting Odds
The last time the Clippers played, they covered the 4.5-point spread against the Memphis Grizzlies, 112-107. The Trail Blazers, on the other hand, were blown out by the Golden State Warriors, 125-97, and were unable to cover as 1-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Los Angeles game finished 9 points over the projected point total of 210, while the Portland game finished 3.5 points over the projected point total of 218.5.
Los Angeles played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.255 (matching their season average) and a turnover percentage of 8.6 (better than their season average of 12.3). For those same stats, Memphis had marks of 0.152 and 13.8, respectively. Portland, meanwhile, held Golden State to an offensive rebounding percentage of 18.2 (below their season average of 23.2). Damian Lillard was a key piece for Portland with 23 points and eight assists. Meanwhile, Los Angeles rallied around Montrezl Harrell, who put up 22 points and 11 rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Lillard led the Trail Blazers to a 116-105 win. He was the game’s leading scorer with 25 points. The two teams combined to put up 221 points, which was just under the projected point total of 225.5, and Portland covered as a 5-point favorite. Portland’s rebounding was their largest strength. The Trail Blazers had 14 offensive rebounds and 53 total rebounds, while the Clippers had seven and 41, respectively.
Of the Clippers’ 18 games, 12 have finished over the total. Los Angeles holds records of 12-6 straight up (SU) and 11-7 against the spread (ATS).
Coinciding with Los Angeles, games including the Trail Blazers also tend to finish over the total (57.9 percent). Additionally, Portland is 12-7 SU and 11-8 ATS.
Harrell has really been playing well recently for Los Angeles, averaging 20 points,8.8 rebounds,1.8 blocks,1.4 steals over the last five games.
The offensive glass should be a major advantage for Portland in this meeting. The Trail Blazers rank eighth in offensive rebounding percentage (25.9 percent), while Los Angeles ranks 21st in defensive rebounding percentage (75.8 percent). Additionally, the Clippers rank first in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.273), while the Trail Blazers rank first in opponents’ FTA rate (0.162).
Clippers at Trail Blazers Betting Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Clippers rank 22 in assists per game (22.61111111111111) while the Trail Blazers rank 27 (20.57894736842105).
- Portland averages 49.9 rebounds per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 19th in rebounds allowed per game (45.9).
- The Trail Blazers rank 10th in second chance points per game (14.4) while the Clippers rank 22nd in second chance points allowed per game (15.0).
- Portland ranks third in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.2) while Los Angeles ranks 13th (17.0).
- Los Angeles averages 53 points in the paint per game, which ranks 6 in the NBA. Portland ranks 13 in points allowed in the paint per game (48.10526315789474).
- The Trail Blazers rank 12th in three pointers attempted per game (32.1) while the Clippers rank 27th (25.4).
- The Clippers rank 18 in fast break points per game (11.944444444444445) while the Trail Blazers rank 27 (10.473684210526315).
- Portland ranks 28 in steals per game (6.2105263157894735) while Los Angeles ranks last (5.666666666666667).
- Los Angeles averages 5.5 blocks per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Portland ranks 25th in blocks allowed per game (6.2).
- Portland is 4-0 when they allow under 100 points, while Los Angeles is 2-0.
- The Clippers and Trail Blazers are both 12-5 when they reach the century mark.
- Los Angeles is 4-5 ATS on the road, while Portland is 7-2 ATS at home.
- The Clippers have 6 overs and 3 unders in 9 road games.
- The Trail Blazers have 5 unders and 4 overs in 9 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Clippers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Trail Blazers are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Los Angeles has 5 overs, while Portland has 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 120.0 points per game (2.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.2 points per game (3.0 above their season average).
- The Trail Blazers have been outscored by an average of 14.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Portland has defeated opponents by an average of 2.3 points.
