Los Angeles Clippers at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Prediction 12/06/19

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The Los Angeles Clippers (16-6), 3.5-point underdogs, will try to slow down the Milwaukee Bucks (19-3) at Fiserv Forum. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 232 points and it can be seen on FSN Prime Ticket at 8:30 p.m. ET on Friday, December 6, 2019.

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds

Both teams comfortably covered as favorites in their last game. The Bucks (8.5-point favorites) defeated the Detroit Pistons 127-103, while the Clippers (8.5-point favorites) beat the Portland Trail Blazers 117-97. The Milwaukee game finished 7 points over the projected point total of 223, while the Los Angeles game went 19 points under the projected point total of 233.

Los Angeles played a nearly flawless game. They had a great turnover percentage of 8.7 (better than their season average of 13.4) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.548 (above their season average of 0.525). For those same stats, Portland had marks of 11.8 and 0.467, respectively. Milwaukee, on the other hand, played a nearly flawless game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.278 (above their season average of 0.203) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.4 (above their season average of 21.7). Detroit recorded marks of 0.151 and 16.7, respectively, for those same stats. Giannis Antetokounmpo had a good game for Milwaukee, recording 35 points and nine rebounds. Meanwhile, Los Angeles was lifted by Montrezl Harrell, who finished with 26 points and nine rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Antetokounmpo led the Bucks to a 129-124 win. He notched a double-double with 38 points and 16 rebounds. The two teams combined to score 253 points, which was well over the projected point total of 228.5, and Milwaukee was unable to cover as a 6-point favorite. Milwaukee had a better turnover percentage (11.7 vs. 14.3). Los Angeles, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (29-36; 80.6 percent).

Of the Clippers’ 22 games, 13 have finished under the O/U total. Los Angeles holds records of 16-6 straight up (SU) and 11-10-1 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Los Angeles, a little over half of Bucks games have finished over the total. Further, Milwaukee owns records of 19-3 SU and 11-11 ATS.

This battle pits one of the NBA’s top offenses against one of its elite defensesMilwaukee ranks first in effective field goal percentage (0.561), while Los Angeles is fifth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.496). Moreover, the Clippers are among the league’s best on the offensive backboards, ranking first in offensive rebounding percentage (25.4 percent). The Bucks, however, rank second in defensive rebounding percentage (80.8 percent).

Los Angeles Clippers at Milwaukee Bucks Free Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks lead the league with 40.0 points allowed in the paint per game while the Clippers are fifth with 43.5 points allowed in the paint per game.
  • Milwaukee averages 19.1 fast break points per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 23rd in fast break points allowed per game (14.8).
  • The Clippers average 49.0 rebounds per game, which ranks second in the league. The Bucks rank 20th in rebounds allowed per game (46.2).
  • Los Angeles ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (22.2) while Milwaukee ranks 14th (23.9).
  • Los Angeles ranks first in second chance points per game (15.8) while Milwaukee ranks sixth (14.6).
  • The Bucks rank second in steals allowed per game (6.3) while the Clippers rank 21st (8.1).
  • The Bucks rank third in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while the Clippers rank 12th (4.9).
  • Milwaukee ranks fifth in points off turnovers per game (18.9) while Los Angeles ranks ninth (18.2).
  • Milwaukee ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (40.0) while Los Angeles ranks 21st in three pointers allowed per game (34.8).
  • Milwaukee is 5-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Los Angeles is 7-0.
  • When reaching 100 points, the Clippers are 14-3 and the Bucks are 19-3.
  • Los Angeles is 2-6 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 5-5 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 4 of the Clippers’ 8 road games, while 6 of the Bucks’ 10 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Los Angeles and Milwaukee are both 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 119.8 points per game (4.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.4 points per game (1.6 above their season average).
  • The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 25.4, up from 12.9 for the season.