The Los Angeles Chargers (-9.5) aren’t traveling far to face their AFC West rival Oakland Raiders at Oakland Coliseum. FOX will broadcast the action and this late afternoon game is scheduled to start at 4:05 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland Raiders
In this Sunday AFC game, Los Angeles is tabbed as the big favorite and is currently giving up 9.5 points. The Chargers are also receiving -440 moneyline odds while the Raiders are +310. If one squad gets out in front in the early stages it will create a decent betting scenario in-game. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 50.5 points.
The game’s total has shifted higher after initially being set at 50. The opening line (9.5) has remained consistent.
The Chargers have gained 3.4 units so far and are 4-4 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 5-3.
The Raiders have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 6.2 units. The team is 2-6 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-5.
The Chargers have gone 6-2 straight up (SU), including 1-1 SU against AFC West opponents. The Raiders are 1-7 SU overall and 0-2 SU against divisional foes.
Oakland enters this matchup on a zero-game winning streak while Los Angeles has lost each of its last zero. The Chargers are coming off a 25-17 victory over Seattle last week. The passing game could’ve been better as Philip Rivers completed only 13-of-26 passes for 228 yards and two touchdowns. Melvin Gordon III (113 rushing yards on 16 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack in the win while Keenan Allen (six receptions, 124 yards) and Virgil Green (two catches, 28 yards) handled the receiving duties.
In Week 9, San Francisco knocked off this Oakland crew by a score of 34-3. The Raiders defensive unit allowed the 49ers to eat up the clock by running for 143 yards on 32 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. George Kittle had a productive outing in the win, recording 108 yards on four catches for San Francisco. For Oakland, Derek Carr completed 16-of-21 passes for 171 yards. Doug Martin (49 yards on 11 rush attempts) handled the ground game in the defeat while Jalen Richard (four receptions, 45 yards) and Brandon LaFell (three catches, 20 yards) led the pass-catching corps.
Los Angeles has run the ball on 44.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oakland has a rush percentage of 39.4 percent. The Chargers have produced 128.9 rush yards per game (including 101.0 per game versus West opponents) and have seven touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Raiders are logging 95.0 rushing yards per game (66.5 in conference) and have four total rush TDs.
Based on the results this season, it seems like the Chargers might have the advantage in all aspects of the ground game, as their backfield has generated 5.2 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 4.4 to opponents. The Raiders have tallied 4.1 yards per carry and given up 4.8 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Bolts offensive scheme has tallied 280.5 yards per contest through the air overall (381.5 per game against conference opposition) and has 19 passing scores so far. The Raiders have produced 275.8 pass yards per game (278 in the AFC) and have 10 total pass TDs.
Los Angeles has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 112.4 yards and throw for 266.4 yards per game. The Oakland defense has allowed 269.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 144.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bolts are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.04 to opposing QBs, while the Raiders have given up a staggering 9.47 ANY/A.
Offensively, Rivers is up to 1,930 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 146-of-220 attempts with 17 passing scores and only three interceptions. He has a pristine 9.04 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 10.57 over the last two outings.
In the other locker room, Derek Carr has connected on 183-of-254 passes for 1,954 yards, seven TDs and eight INTs. Carr’s ANY/A stands at 5.77 for the season and 7.91 across his last two games.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Oakland Raiders Free Prediction
SU Winner: Chargers, ATS Winner: Chargers, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The Chargers offense has tallied eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Raiders have put up four such plays.
- The Los Angeles defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Oakland has given up nine such plays.
- The Los Angeles offense has created 12 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Oakland has created two such runs.
- The Chargers defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Raiders have given up seven such runs.
- The Los Angeles defense has more than three times as many sacks as Oakland this year (22 to seven).
- As a team, Los Angeles has averaged 6.1 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.4 over its last two.
- Oakland has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.9 over its last two.
- Over its last three games, Oakland is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Los Angeles’ previous game going into it was 49. The under cashed in the team’s 25-17 victory over Seattle.
- Over its last three matchups, Los Angeles is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Oakland’s last match was set at 44. The under cashed in the 34-3 loss to San Francisco.
