The Los Angeles Chargers (+16) are set to face off against the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium. Kickoff for this game is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS will televise the action.
Betting Preview: Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles is significantly favored here and is currently giving up 16 points to Miami. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 45 points. If one squad catches a lucky break early on, it’ll likely create a decent live betting opportunity.
This game’s opening line was 16.5, while the over/under hasn’t moved since it was set initially at 45.
The Chargers are down 1.6 units so far and 1-2 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under record of 1-2.
The Dolphins have lost 1.0 unit this season. The team is 0-3 ATS and also has an O/U record of 1-2.
The Chargers have gone 1-2 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Dolphins are 0-3 SU.
The Chargers are looking to get back on track after a 27-20 defeat to Houston in Week 3 where their secondary allowed the Texans to air it out for 351 yards and three touchdowns. Kenny Stills had a productive day for the Texans in that one with 89 yards on four catches. On the offensive side of the ball, Philip Rivers completed 31 passes for 318 yards and two touchdowns. Austin Ekeler (36 rushing yards on nine attempts) led the ground attack in the loss while Keenan Allen (13 receptions, 183 yards, two TDs) and Ekeler (seven catches, 45 yards) manned the receiving duties.
In Week 3, Dallas took care of this Miami crew by a score of 31-6. The Dolphins defensive unit let the Cowboys eat up the clock by running for 235 yards on 34 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Ezekiel Elliott had a solid showing, recording 125 rushing yards on 19 attempts for Dallas. For Miami, Josh Rosen completed 18-of-39 passes for 200 yards. Kenyan Drake (38 yards on 12 rush attempts) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat while Jakeem Grant (four receptions, 27 yards) and Preston Williams (four catches, 68 yards) led the receiving attack.
Los Angeles has run the ball on 35.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Miami has a rush percentage of 31.3 percent. The Chargers have run for 111.7 yards/game and have two touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Dolphins are logging 45 rushing yards per game and have yet to record a rush TD.
It seems like the Chargers should own the edge in terms of RB effectiveness. Their running backs has logged 5.2 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 4.2 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Dolphins have tallied 2.6 yards per carry and allowed 5.4 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Bolts offense has averaged 314.7 yards through the air overall and has five passing scores so far. The Dolphins have produced 201.7 pass yards per outing and have only one pass TD.
Defensively, Los Angeles appears to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 112 yards and pass for 262 yards per game. The Miami defense has allowed 296.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 208.0 yards per game on the ground. The Bolts are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 8.47 to opponents, while the Dolphins have given up a staggering 11.43 ANY/A.
Offensively, Rivers has amassed 651 passing yards this year, and has connected on 56-of-80 attempts with five passing scores and only one interception. He has a 7.39 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.53 over the last two outings.
For the home team, Josh Rosen has connected on 19-of-42 passes for 205 yards, zero TDs and one INT. Rosen’s ANY/A stands at a terrible 2.96 for the year and 3.38 over his last two outings.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Miami Dolphins Free Prediction
SU Winner: , ATS Winner: Dolphins, O/U: Over
Betting Notes
- Each team has produced two pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Chargers have have made five pass plays of 30+ yards while the Dolphins have accounted for two such plays.
- The Los Angeles defense has allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards, while Miami has given up two such plays.
- The Los Angeles offense has created two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Miami has created zero such runs.
- The Chargers defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Dolphins have given up three such runs.
- Each team defense has tallied four sacks this season.
- Los Angeles has averaged 4.9 yards per carry over its last two outings.
- Miami has averaged 2.9 yards per carry over its last two.
- Over its last three matches, Miami is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Los Angeles’ last game going into it was 49. The under cashed in the team’s 27-20 loss to Houston.
- In its last three contests, Los Angeles is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Miami’s last match was set at 46.5. The under cashed in the 31-6 defeat to Dallas.
