Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins Free Pick

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The Minnesota Twins will welcome the Los Angeles Angels to Target Field in Game 0 of a doubleheader. This AL matchup will begin at 7:40 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports North.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins Odds

Vegas has listed Los Angeles (+145) as the underdog to Minnesota (-155). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -115 and the under for -105. Runline odds sit at -150 for taking the Angels +1.5 runs and +130 for the Twins -1.5 runs.

The Twins are 25-14 straight up (SU) and 22-16 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 12.9 units for moneyline bettors and 5.0 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Angels, on the other hand, have gone 19-21 SU this year and are 23-16 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 1.3 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season, but have gained 8.1 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Minnesota games have had an over/under record of 20-18 so far in 2019. The Angels have an over/under record of 17-20-2.

Southpaw Tyler Skaggs will get the nod for the visiting Halos. Skaggs is 3-3 with a 4.70 ERA and 28 strikeouts. He has yet to face Minnesota this year, but he made two starts against the Twins in 2018, putting together a 1-0 record against them with a 2.08 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

The Twins are countering with Jose Berrios (6-1, 2.53 ERA). Berrios has 51 strikeouts and eight walks, along with a 0.92 WHIP. Berrios only made one start against the Angels in 2018 (0-1, 8.44 ERA and two strikeouts across five and 1-third innings).

As a unit, Minnesota’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.49 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.22 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.

The Minnesota hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .313/.393/.560 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Twins’ offense has been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and second baseman Jonathan Schoop. Polanco is hitting .324/.393/.607 with seven home runs, 17 RBIs and 22 runs scored, and Schoop is batting .276 with six homers, 18 RBIs and 20 runs.

In the other dugout, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 5.80 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.49 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.90, along with a K/9 of 9.88.

Angels hitters have slashed .245/.326/.424 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Andrelton Simmons and left fielder David Fletcher have led Los Angeles’ hitters. Simmons is slashing .313/.333/.444 with three home runs, 21 RBIs and 19 runs scored. Fletcher is hitting .296/.343/.440 with three homers, 14 RBIs and 19 runs scored.

The Angels have gained 5.2 units and are 16-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 0.1 units and are 2-2 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in four of those games, compared to zero that went under the total.

Angels at Twins Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Both offenses have tallied 22 extra-base hits over their last five games.
  • The Angels have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.
  • The Angels have a total OPS of .751 this season and an OPS of .783 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS stands at .832 overall and .840 versus righties.
  • Los Angeles has recorded 23.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.0 over its last five.