David Fletcher and the slumping Los Angeles Angels will be taking on their divisional rival Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park in a Saturday showdown. ATTSN Southwest will televise the matchup. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.
Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Odds
Las Vegas has Houston (-235) as the favorite over Los Angeles (+215). You can play game’s total with current odds sitting at -120 for over 9.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 9.5. This game currently has a runline of Angels +1.5 (-105) and Astros -1.5 (-115).
The Astros are 83-47 straight up (SU) and 68-61 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much for gamblers, losing 2.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.9 units ATS. Houston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Angels are 63-68 SU and have gone 66-64 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 10.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have gained 0.9 units ATS. Los Angeles is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Houston games have a 57-68-4 over/under record in 2019. Los Angeles has been a decent over bet with a total record of 64-57-9.
Left-hander Dillon Peters will get the start for the visiting Angels. Peters is 3-1 with a 3.92 ERA and 36 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Astros this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Astros will put the ball in the left hand of Wade Miley (12-4, 3.18 ERA, 1.20 WHIP), who has 125 strikeouts and 48 walks this season. Miley is 2-0 with five strikeouts and a 2.38 ERA over two starts against Los Angeles this year.
Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.42 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.48 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.71, along with a WHIP of 1.37 and a K/9 of 9.31.
The Angels offense has slashed .254/.333/.436 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game this season, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
David Fletcher and Mike Trout have paced Los Angeles’ hitters. Fletcher is slashing .288/.346/.397 with five home runs, 42 RBIs and 70 runs scored. Trout is hitting .294 with 42 homers, 98 RBIs and 103 runs scored.
For the home team, Houston’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.68 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.76 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 55 divisional games, Astros starters have an ERA of 3.76 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.22.
The Houston offense has produced 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .277/.368/.459 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Astros’ hitters have been led by left fielder Michael Brantley and first baseman Yuli Gurriel. Brantley is hitting .337/.394/.541 with 18 home runs, 78 RBIs and 78 runs scored, while Gurriel’s line is .305/.344/.548 with 26 homers, 91 RBIs and 71 runs scored.
The Angels have lost 12.7 units and are 19-24 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Astros have netted 6.8 units and are 19-16 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 13 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under.
Angels at Astros MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in five of Los Angeles’ last seven games.
- The Angels have lost four of their last five games SU while the Astros have won five of their last six.
- Los Angeles has posted 25.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.6 over its last five.
- The Angels have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 17 over their last 10.
- The Angels have a total OPS of .769 this season, including an OPS of .744 against left-handed pitchers. The Astros’ OPS stands at .839 overall and .889 against lefties.
