Mike Trout and the struggling Los Angeles Angels will head east to play the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network will televise this AL showdown and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.
Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox Odds
Las Vegas has Boston (-245) as the favorite over Los Angeles (+225). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to finish below 10 runs, then Vegas is currently offering -115 odds to play the under. Playing the over can return -105 odds. There’s a runline of Angels +1.5 (+100) and Red Sox -1.5 (-120) for this matchup.
The Angels have gone 56-59 SU this year and are 60-55 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.5 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 3.5 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread just once over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 60-56 SU and 48-68 ATS. They’ve lost 25.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 26.9 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Red Sox games have a 69-44-3 over/under record in 2019. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 53-53-9.
Left-hander Dillon Peters is the projected starter for the visiting Angels. Peters is 2-0 with a 3.20 ERA and 19 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Red Sox are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Chris Sale (5-11, 4.68 ERA), who has 193 strikeouts and 35 walks as well as a 1.14 WHIP. Sale did not record a start against the Angels in 2018.
Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.46 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.45 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.58, along with a K-per-9 of 9.28.
The Angels offense has slashed .254/.333/.439 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).
Mike Trout and David Fletcher continue to lead Los Angeles’ hitters. Trout is hitting .299/.440/.672 with 38 home runs, 89 RBIs and 88 runs scored, while Fletcher (.284/.345/.394) is up to five homers, 39 RBIs and 58 runs scored.
For the home team, Boston’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 5.09 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.46 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 10.6 K/9.
Boston’s hitters are putting up 5.7 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .234/.304/.401 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts have paced the Red Sox hitters this year. Devers is slashing .321/.369/.568 with 23 home runs, 87 RBIs and 93 runs scored, while the line for Bogaerts stands at .307/.387/.563 with 25 homers, 85 RBIs and 89 runs.
The Angels have lost 9.3 units and are 17-19 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, as opposed to 19 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 11.3 units and are 14-21 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 12 that went under the total.
Angels at Red Sox Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Los Angeles has tallied 13 extra-base hits over its last five games. Boston has 14 XBH over its last five.
- The Angels have lost seven of their last eight games SU.
- Los Angeles fielders have 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to only five errors for Boston over its last 10.
- The Angels have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 15 over their last 10.
- The Angels have a team OPS of .772 this season and an OPS of .750 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .818 overall and .789 against southpaws.
