The Kansas Jayhawks and Texas Tech Red Raiders will do battle on the turf at Jones AT&T Stadium. This Saturday afternoon game starts at 3:30 p.m. ET and FS1 is scheduled to broadcast the action.
Betting Preview: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas Jayhawks
Texas Tech has been tabbed as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 21 points to Kansas. If the Jayhawks seize momentum early it would create a decent in-game betting opportunity. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 61 points.
With the line opening at -18 and the O/U set initially at 61.5, oddsmakers have swayed this game’s outlook slightly.
The Jayhawks are down 3.4 units so far and 3-3 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 2-3.
The surprising Red Raiders are up 6.6 units this season. They’re 4-2 ATS and own an O/U record of 4-2.
The Jayhawks are only 2-4 straight up (SU), including 0-3 SU against conference opponents. The Red Raiders are 4-2 SU overall and are also 2-1 SU in conference play.
The Jayhawks fell to West Virginia 38-22 in a matchup where the Jayhawks completed 21-of-34 passes for 206 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Peyton Bender went 16-for-25 for 191 yards, two touchdowns and one interception while Carter Stanley completed five-of-eight for 15 yards and one interception. Pooka Williams Jr. (65 rushing yards on 12 attempts) led the running attack while Jeremiah Booker (four receptions, 63 yards) and Kerr Johnson Jr. (four catches, 46 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Texas Tech just earned a 17-14 win over TCU. The defense let the Horned Frogs rush for 121 yards on 32 attempts. KaVontae Turpin was a bright spot in the loss, posting 120 yards and a score on six catches for TCU. For Texas Tech, Jett Duffey completed 13-of-24 passes for 190 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Duffey (83 yards on 16 rush attempts, one TD) and Tre King (60 yards on 10 carries) mounted the running game as Ja’Deion High (four receptions, 78 yards, one TD) and Antoine Wesley (three catches, 82 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Kansas has run the ball on 53.8 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 48.0 percent across possessions in conference play. Texas Tech has an overall run percentage of 49.2 percent, and has rushed the ball 52.2 percent of the time against Big 12 opponents. The Jayhawks have run for 166.7 yards per game (including 107.7 per game versus Big 12 opponents) and have eight scores on the ground this year. The Red Raiders are putting up 178.3 rush yards per game (181.0 in conference) and have 19 total rushing TDs.
If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then it’s looking like the Red Raiders ought to hold an edge when it comes to applying pressure. Their offensive line has allowed just nine sacks while the D-line has registered 10 sacks. The Jayhawks O-line has given up 19 sacks and their defense has got to opposing QBs on just 10 occasions.
The Jayhawks offensive scheme has logged 180.8 yards/contest in the air overall (200.7 per game versus conference opposition) and has 10 passing scores so far. The Red Raiders have produced an astonishing 373.3 pass yards per outing (298 against Big 12 foes) and have 14 total pass TDs.
Kansas seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s allowed opponents to run for an average of 177.2 yards and throw for 224.0 yards per game. The Texas Tech defense has allowed 299.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 142.2 yards per game to opposing runners. The Jayhawks are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.48 to opposing QBs, while the Red Raiders have allowed a 6.87 ANY/A.
Offensively, Stanley has amassed 57 passing yards this season. The signal-caller has completed 67 percent of his 15 attempts with zero scores through the air and one interception. Stanley’s got a 0.38 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 5.56 over the last two outings.
In the other locker room, Jett Duffey has completed 20-of-33 passes for 283 yards, one TD and two INTs. Duffey’s ANY/A sits at 5.91 for the year and 4.69 across his past two games.
When these two teams met a year ago, Texas Tech won easily 65-19.
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Free Pick
SU Winner: Texas Tech, ATS Winner: Kansas, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The Over/Under for Kansas’ previous game going into it was 64. The under cashed in the team’s 38-22 loss to West Virginia.
- Kansas, as a team, has produced 3.8 yards per carry over its past three outings and 3.5 over its last two.
- Texas Tech has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.8 over its past two.
- The Texas Tech offense has lost one fumble this season while Kansas has lost three.
- Over its last three matchups, Kansas is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Texas Tech’s last outing was set at 57.5. The under cashed in the team’s 17-14 victory over TCU.
- In its last three matches, Texas Tech is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- Texas Tech has won five of its last six games SU, with a -8-point defeat to West Virginia on September 29th representing the one loss over that span.
- The Jayhawks offense has recorded zero pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Red Raiders have accounted for eight such plays.
- The Kansas defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Texas Tech has given up six such plays.
- The Kansas offense has created 14 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Texas Tech has created eight such runs.
- The Jayhawks defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Red Raiders have given up seven such runs.
- Each team defense has produced 10 sacks this season.
