The Kansas City Royals are set to face off against their divisional rival Detroit Tigers in a Saturday showdown. The game gets underway 6:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Kansas City will broadcast the action.
Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers Odds
Detroit (receiving -115 odds) is favored against Kansas City and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 10 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). You can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Royals +1.5 runs (-200) and Tigers -1.5 runs (+170).
The Royals have gone 41-76 SU this year and are 54-62 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 20.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 20.4 units ATS. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 35-78 SU and 45-67 ATS. They’ve lost 31.0 units for moneyline bettors and 30.1 units ATS.
Tigers games have a 51-53-8 over/under record in 2019. The Royals have been a decent over bet with a total record of 57-51-8.
The southpaw Mike Montgomery is projected to start for the visiting Royals. Montgomery is 1-5 with a 6.02 ERA and 30 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Tigers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Tigers are turning to Spencer Turnbull (3-9, 3.72 ERA). Turnbull has 95 strikeouts and 41 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.37. Turnbull is 0-0 with 23 strikeouts and a 2.86 ERA over four starts against Kansas City this year.
Detroit’s pitching staff has given up 5.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have a 5.21 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.07 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 48 games against divisional foes, Tigers starters have an ERA of 6.22 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.21.
The Detroit hitters are putting up 3.7 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .297/.376/.491 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Tigers’ hitters have been led by Nicholas Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera. Castellanos is hitting .273/.328/.462 with 11 home runs, 37 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Cabrera’s line sits at .286/.349/.394 with eight homers, 46 RBIs and 31 runs.
For the visitors, Kansas City’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.26 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.45 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.80, along with a WHIP of 1.44 and a K-per-9 of 8.45.
Royals hitters have slashed .246/.311/.403 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Whit Merrifield and left fielder Alex Gordon have paced Kansas City’s hitters. Merrifield is slashing .304/.358/.484 with 13 home runs, 57 RBIs, 79 runs and 16 steals, while Gordon (.269/.344/.424) is up to 12 homers, 63 RBIs and 62 runs scored.
The Royals have lost 15.2 units and are 40-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 43 of those games, as opposed to 37 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have netted 0.3 units and are 12-10 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to six which went under the total.
Royals at Tigers MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in four of Detroit’s last seven games.
- The Royals have a team OPS of .714 this season and an OPS of .725 against right-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS stands at .685 overall and .677 versus righties.
- The Royals have dropped nine of their last 10 games SU.
- Detroit has recorded 25.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.6 over its last five.
- The Royals have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
