The Kansas City Royals are ready to take the field against the Miami Marlins in a Sunday showdown. Fox Sports Kansas City is in line to broadcast this interleague matchup and the game gets going at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Kansas City Royals vs. Miami Marlins Odds
For any gamblers that want to play the moneyline, each team is currently receiving identical odds (-105) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Royals -1.5 runs (+140) and Marlins +1.5 runs (-160).
The Marlins are 70-70 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 50-91 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 12.7 units for moneyline bettors and 10.2 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Royals have gone 53-90 SU this year and are 66-76 against the spread. Overall, the team’s lost 21.7 units for moneyline bettors and 23.0 units ATS. Kansas City is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Neither team has established itself as an obvious over/under bet this year. Marlins games have an over/under record of 65-64-11 in 2019. Kansas City has an over/under record of 68-66-8.
Mike Montgomery will get the nod for Kansas City. The left-handed Montgomery is 3-7 with a 4.42 ERA and 59 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins are countering with Sandy Alcantara (4-12, 4.26 ERA). Alcantara has 123 strikeouts and 76 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.36. Alcantara has yet to face the Royals this year and did not record a start against them in 2018.
As a unit, Miami’s pitching staff has yielded 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 4.57 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.11 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The Miami offense has produced 3.7 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .249/.335/.401 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the charge for the Marlins’ offense this year. Castro is hitting .269/.295/.415 with 17 home runs, 74 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Anderson’s line sits at .261/.342/.468 with 20 homers, 66 RBIs and 57 runs.
For the visiting squad, Kansas City’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.16 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.31 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.99, along with a K-per-9 of 8.51.
Royals hitters have slashed .246/.311/.399 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Kansas City’s offense has been fueled by second baseman Whit Merrifield and left fielder Alex Gordon. Merrifield is slashing .306/.354/.474 with 16 home runs, 72 RBIs, 94 runs and 18 stolen bases, while Gordon is hitting .262/.340/.398 with 12 homers, 68 RBIs and 72 runs scored.
The Royals have lost 16.5 units and are 49-55 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 50 of those games, as opposed to 50 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 1.5 units and are 20-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 19 of those games, compared to 13 which went under the total.
Royals vs. Marlins Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Kansas City has logged 14 extra-base hits over its last five games. Miami has 17 XBH over its last five.
- The Royals have a total OPS of .710 this season and an OPS of .718 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS sits at .668 overall and .654 versus righties.
- The Royals have won six of their last seven games SU while the Marlins have lost three of their last four.
- Miami has recorded 17.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.0 over its last five.
- Each team has hit 12 home runs over its last 10 games.
