The Kansas City Royals will head east to take on the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. Fox Sports Kansas City will broadcast this AL showdown and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Kansas City (+125) as the dog to Baltimore (-135). If you think the game’s total will go under 10 runs, Vegas is currently offering even money odds (+100). Picking the over will return -120 odds. The game’s runline odds stand at -170 for betting the Royals +1.5 runs and +150 for the Orioles -1.5.
The Royals are 44-80 SU and have gone 57-66 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 21.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 21.7 units ATS. Kansas City is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 39-85 SU and 52-71 ATS. They’ve lost 15.8 units for moneyline bettors and 24.3 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.
Orioles games have an over/under record of 64-50-9 in 2019. The Royals have an over/under record of 58-57-8.
Jorge Lopez is getting the start for Kansas City. The right-handed Lopez (1-7, 6.51 ERA) has recorded 82 strikeouts in 85.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 1.29 ERA and eight strikeouts across seven innings).
The Orioles are handing the ball to lefty John Means (8-8, 3.76 ERA), who has 84 punchouts and 30 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.22. Means did not record a start against the Royals in 2018.
As a unit, Baltimore’s pitchers have yielded 6.5 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have a 5.84 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.40 ERA, 1.60 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.
Baltimore’s offense has put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .213/.291/.348 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that span.
The Orioles’ hitters have been led by second baseman Jonathan Villar and outfielder Trey Mancini. Villar is hitting .274/.345/.442 with 15 home runs, 54 RBIs, 82 runs and 28 steals, while Mancini’s line sits at .277/.346/.535 with 29 homers, 73 RBIs and 82 runs.
For the visiting squad, Kansas City’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.08 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 7.47 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.83, along with a K/9 of 8.49.
Royals hitters have slashed .243/.309/.400 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Whit Merrifield and outfielder Jorge Soler continue to lead Kansas City’s offense. Merrifield is hitting .300/.353/.478 with 14 home runs, 63 RBIs, 83 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Soler (.259/.351/.549) is up to 35 homers, 88 RBIs and 69 runs scored.
The Royals have lost 4.3 units and are 15-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 12.1 units and are 33-45 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 40 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under.
Royals vs. Orioles MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in five of Baltimore’s last seven games.
- The Royals have an OPS of .708 this season and an OPS of .703 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS sits at .716 overall and .716 against lefties.
- The Royals have lost four of their last five games SU while the Orioles have dropped 12 of their last 13.
- Baltimore has recorded 20.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.2 over its last five.
- The Royals have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 12 over their last 10.
