The Kansas City Chiefs (-8) are heading east to visit the Cleveland Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium. The opening kickoff for this showdown is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to CBS.
Betting Preview: Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Cleveland is a big underdog in this AFC matchup and is currently getting 8 points. The Chiefs are also receiving -330 moneyline odds while the Browns are +260. If one team can get out in front early it will result in a worthy in-game betting scenario. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 52.5 points.
Sharp bettors have been siding with the Browns, as the line opened at 9. The total has not changed after it was set initially at 52.5.
The surprising Chiefs are 7-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 6.9 units so far in 2018. The team’s recorded an O/U mark of 4-4.
The Browns have lost 2.8 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 5-3 ATS and also own an even O/U record of 4-4.
The Chiefs have gone 7-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Browns are 2-5-1 SU.
Kansas City enters this contest on a zero-game winless skid while Cleveland has won zero in a row. The Chiefs are coming off a 30-23 win over Denver last week. Patrick Mahomes completed 24 passes on 34 attempts for 303 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Kareem Hunt (50 yards on 16 rush attempts) led the ground attack. Sammy Watkins (eight receptions, 107 yards, two TDs) and Travis Kelce (six catches, 79 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Cleveland just fell 33-18 to Pittsburgh in Week 8. Baker Mayfield completed 22-of-36 passes for 180 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Nick Chubb (65 rushing yards on 18 attempts) handled the running game while Jarvis Landry (eight receptions, 39 yards) and Antonio Callaway (five catches, 36 yards, one TD) led the receiving corps in the loss.
Each squad sports a remarkably similar (59-41 pass-to-run ratio on the season. The Chiefs have run for 114.9 yards per game and have seven touchdowns on the ground this year. The Browns are averaging 127.4 rush yards per game and have nine total rushing TDs.
If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then the Chiefs ought to have the more disruptive lines up front. Their offensive line has given up only 37 sacks while the D-line logged 31 sacks. The Browns, on the other hand, have allowed 50 sacks and their defense has recorded only 34 sacks.
The Chiefs offensive scheme has averaged 315.8 yards in the air overall and has 26 passing TDs so far. The Browns have put up 241.6 pass yards per game and have 10 total pass scores.
Kansas City has let opponents rush for an average of 127.6 yards and throw for 323.9 yards per game. The Cleveland defense has allowed 289.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 138.9 yards per game to opposing runners. The Browns are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.37 to opponents, while the Chiefs have given up a 6.48 ANY/A.
Mahomes has been more effective than Mayfield of late, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 9.23for the season (and 9.27 over the last two games). Mayfield’s ANY/A is 4.92 for the year and 4.99 over his last two games.
Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns Free NFL Tip
SU Winner: Browns, ATS Winner: Browns, O/U: Under
Team Betting Notes
- The O/U for Kansas City’s last game was set at 53.5. The under cashed in the team’s 30-23 win over Denver.
- As a team, Kansas City has averaged 5.3 yards per carry across its last three contests and 5.3 over its last two.
- Cleveland has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three matchups and only 4.4 over its last two.
- Cleveland has lost three fumbles this season while Kansas City has lost one.
- In its last three matches, Kansas City is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Cleveland’s last game was 47.5. The over cashed in that 33-18 loss to Pittsburgh.
- Over its last three contests, Cleveland is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- Cleveland has lost five of its last six games SU, with a three-point victory over Baltimore on October 7th accounting for its lone win over that stretch.
- The Chiefs offense has created nine pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Browns have put up three such plays.
- The Kansas City defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Cleveland has given up five such plays.
- The Kansas City offense has created eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Cleveland has created 10 such runs.
- The Chiefs defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Browns have given up seven such runs.
- The Kansas City defense has 24 sacks on the year while Cleveland has 20.
