The Red Raiders (+6.5) are gearing up to welcome their in-conference rival Iowa State Cyclones (-6.5) to Texas Tech. This crucial afternoon game is scheduled to get going at 12:00 p.m. ET and FS1 will televise the action.
Betting Preview: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Iowa State Cyclones
In this Saturday Big 12 game, Iowa State is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 6.5 points. The Cyclones are also receiving -270 moneyline odds while the Red Raiders are +210. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 56 points, and on the surface it appears that this showdown might offer some in-game betting scenarios.
Sharp bettors are hammering both the Cyclones and the under. The line originally opened at 5.5 while the total was initially 57.5.
The Cyclones are 4-2 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.6 units this season. The team’s posted an O/U record of 3-3.
The Red Raiders have gained 0.5 units this year. The team is 3-2-1 ATS and also has an even O/U record of 3-3.
The Cyclones have gone 4-2 straight up (SU), including 2-1 SU against Big 12 opponents. The Red Raiders are 3-3 SU overall and are also 1-2 SU in conference play.
The Cyclones are coming off a resounding 38-14 win over West Virginia last week where Brock Purdy completed 19 passes for 229 yards, along with a score and a pick. Breece Hall (132 rushing yards on 26 attempts, three TDs) spearheaded the running attack in the win. La’Michael Pettway (eight receptions, 81 yards) and Charlie Kolar (three catches, 45 yards) shared the receiving duties.
Texas Tech narrowly came up short in a 33-30 barnburner to Baylor. The team’s defense allowed the Bears to pass for 352 yards while rushing for 173 yards and four scores. R.J. Sneed put up a good outing, recording 84 yards on six catches for Baylor. For Texas Tech, Jett Duffey completed 31-of-42 passes for 362 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. SaRodorick Thompson (153 yards on 28 rush attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Duffey (-3 yards on 12 carries) led the ground game in the defeat while RJ Turner (seven receptions, 138 yards) and T.J. Vasher (six catches, 46 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps.
Iowa State has run the ball on 50.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Texas Tech has an overall rush percentage of 43.8 percent. The Cyclones have run for 156.8 yards/game (including 131.7 per game against Big 12 opponents) and have 14 scores via handoffs this year. The Red Raiders are logging 167.3 rush yards per game (167.3 in conference) and have 11 total rushing TDs.
The Cyclones offensive scheme has tallied 311.2 yards/contest through the air overall (272.7 per game against conference opposition) and has 13 passing scores so far. The Red Raiders have put up 322 pass yards per game (303 in the Big 12) and have 11 total pass TDs.
Iowa State appears to have an edge in both areas of the defense. The team’s allowed opponents to rush for an average of 101.5 yards and pass for 220.2 yards per game. The Texas Tech defense has given up 247.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 185.2 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Cyclones have given up an ANY/A of 5.46 to opposing QBs, while the Red Raiders are yielding an ANY/A of 5.91.
Passing-wise, Purdy has put up 1,560 yards on the year, and has connected on 68 percent of his 177 attempts with nine passing scores and three interceptions. Purdy has a pristine 8.34 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.05 over the last two outings.
For the home team, Jett Duffey has connected on 43-of-63 passes for 486 yards, one TD and two INTs. Duffey’s ANY/A sits at 5.51 for the year and 8.30 across his past two outings.
These two schools faced off a year ago with the final result being a 40-31 win for Iowa State.
Iowa State Cyclones at Texas Tech Red Raiders Free Pick
SU Winner: Iowa State, ATS Winner: Iowa State, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The Over/Under for Iowa State’s last game was 55. The under cashed in the team’s 38-14 victory over West Virginia.
- Iowa State, as a team, has produced 3.7 yards per carry over its past three outings and 4.2 over its last two.
- Texas Tech has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.0 over its last two.
- Texas Tech has lost three fumbles this season while Iowa State has lost five.
- In its last three contests, Iowa State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Texas Tech’s last outing was set at 59. The over cashed in the team’s 33-30 defeat to Baylor.
- Over its last three games, Texas Tech is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- Each team has produced five pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Cyclones have have made 10 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Red Raiders have accounted for 11 such plays.
- The Iowa State defense has allowed two pass plays of 40+ yards, while Texas Tech has given up eight such plays.
- The Iowa State offense has created five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Texas Tech has created nine such runs.
- The Cyclones defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Red Raiders have given up 11 such runs.
- Each team defense has created 16 sacks this season.
