The Indianapolis Colts (+3) are heading south to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium. This early afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET and interested parties can watch the action on CBS.
Betting Preview: Indianapolis Colts vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
In this Sunday matchup, Tampa Bay is getting picked as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 3 points. The Colts are also receiving +130 moneyline odds while the Buccaneers are -150. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 47.5 points. If the favorite gets down early on, it would likely create a worthwhile betting opportunity in-game.
Sharp bettors have been hammering both the Bucs and the under. The opening line was originally 0 and the game’s O/U was initially placed at 50.5.
The Colts are 6-6 against the spread (ATS) and are down 3.2 units so far. The team has posted an O/U mark of 7-5.
The Buccaneers have gained 0.3 units this season. The team is 4-8 ATS and owns an O/U record of 9-3.
The Colts are 6-6 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Buccaneers are 5-7 SU.
Tampa Bay enters this matchup on a two-game losing streak while Indianapolis has won its last two in a row. The Colts hope to get back in stride after a 31-17 defeat to Tennessee last week. The passing game could’ve been more effective as Jacoby Brissett completed 25-of-40 passes for 319 yards, one score and two interceptions. Jordan Wilkins (47 rushing yards on 11 attempts) provided the running attack while Zach Pascal (seven receptions, 109 yards) and Jack Doyle (six catches, 73 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Tampa Bay is coming off of a 28-11 win over Jacksonville in Week 13. Jameis Winston completed 21-of-33 passes for 268 yards. Peyton Barber (44 yards on 17 rush attempts, two TDs) mounted the running attack as Breshad Perriman (five receptions, 87 yards) and O.J. Howard (five catches, 61 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Indianapolis has run the ball on 48.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tampa Bay has a rush percentage of 39.9 percent. The Colts have run for 139 yards per game and have 10 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Bucs are totaling 96.3 rush yards per game and have 13 total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Colts may be the more disruptive team in the trenches, since their offensive line has given up only 18 sacks while the D-line registered 38 sacks. The Buccaneers, on the other hand, have allowed 41 sacks and their defense has logged only 38 sacks.
The Colts offense has averaged 218.1 yards in the air overall and has 20 passing scores so far. The Bucs have produced 304.9 pass yards per outing and have 22 total pass TDs.
Indianapolis appears to have an edge when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s allowed opponents to rush for an average of 101.8 yards and throw for 243.3 yards per game. The Tampa Bay D has given up 303.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 76.3 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Colts have given up an ANY/A of 6.32 to opposing QBs, while the Bucs are yielding an ANY/A of 6.57.
Offensively, Brissett has amassed 2,116 passing yards on the year, and has completed 64 percent of his 300 attempts with 16 passing scores and six interceptions. He has a 6.48 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.22 over the last two outings.
Jameis Winston has connected on 263-of-439 passes for 3,346 yards, 19 TDs and 18 INTs for Tampa Bay. His ANY/A stands at 5.57 for the year and 8.06 over his last two outings.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Free NFL Tip
SU Winner: Buccaneers, ATS Winner: Colts, O/U: Under
Betting Trends
- Indianapolis has produced 5.3 yards per carry across its last three contests and 4.1 over its last two.
- Tampa Bay has averaged 3.3 yards per carry over its last three outings and only 3.2 over its past two.
- Both teams have lost eight fumbles this season.
- Indianapolis has lost five of its last six games SU, with a 20-point victory over Jacksonville on November 17th representing the only win over that stretch.
- The Colts offense has recorded one pass play of 40+ yards, while the Buccaneers have accounted for 11 such plays.
- The Indianapolis defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Tampa Bay has given up 10 such plays.
- The Indianapolis offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Tampa Bay has created seven such runs.
- The Colts defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Buccaneers have given up three such runs.
- The Tampa Bay defense has notched 33 sacks on the year while Indianapolis has 32.
