The Charlotte Hornets (8-8) will be at home in the Spectrum Center when they clash with the Indiana Pacers (11-6). Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 21, 2018, and can be seen on Fox Sports Carolina.
Indiana Pacers at Charlotte Hornets ATS Odds
Both teams covered in their last contest. The Hornets (3.5-point underdogs) defeated the Boston Celtics 117-112, while the Pacers (4-point underdog) beat the Utah Jazz 121-94. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Charlotte game went 11.5 points over the projected point total of 217.5, while the Indiana game went 9 points over the projected point total of 206.
Indiana played a nearly flawless game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.0 (above their season average of 19.5) and a turnover percentage of 8.2 (better than their season average of 13.3). For those same stats, Utah was 8.3 and 18.2, respectively. Charlotte, on the other hand, played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.180 (below their season average of 0.197) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 19.5 (below their season average of 22.4). Boston had marks of 0.146 and 18.2, respectively, for those same stats. Charlotte received a boost from Kemba Walker, who contributed 43 points and five assists. Domantas Sabonis led the way for Indiana, contributing 19 points, nine rebounds and nine assists.
This series was highly contested last year. Each won two of the four games played against each other last season. In the last game, the Hornets won 119-93. Charlotte’s 0.091 free throw rate was their biggest strength over Indiana, who had a rate of 0.051. This will be the first contest of the year between these two teams.
Of the Pacers’ 17 games, 10 have finished under the total. Indiana comes into the contest with records of 11-6 straight up (SU) and 8-8-1 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas is highly precise when predicting totals of Hornets games, with an even split between overs and unders. Additionally, Charlotte owns records of 8-8 SU and 10-6 ATS.
The Pacers’ Bojan Bogdanovic has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 17 points,1.4 steals per game. Meanwhile, Jeremy Lamb has averaged 16 points,5.6 rebounds,1.8 steals during that same time frame for the Hornets.
Ball security could play a key role in this showdown. Charlotte commits the fewest miscues in the league (turnover percentage of 11.8 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Indiana forces the third-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 16.1 percent).
Indiana Pacers at Charlotte Hornets Betting Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Hornets, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pacers rank 11 in fast break points per game (14.705882352941176) while the Hornets rank 13 in fast break points allowed per game (13.4375).
- Charlotte ranks sixth in three pointers attempted per game (34.9) while Indiana ranks 27th (25.1).
- The Hornets rank eighth in blocks per game (5.9) while the Pacers rank 23rd in blocks allowed per game (6.2).
- Indiana ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (39.3) while Charlotte ranks 16th (48.9).
- Indiana scores the 2-most points off turnovers per game (21.647058823529413) while Charlotte ranks 5 (19.9375).
- The Pacers rank second in rebounds allowed per game (41.7) while the Hornets rank 21st (46.3).
- The Pacers rank 1 in second chance points allowed per game (10.411764705882353) while the Hornets rank 15 (13.25).
- Indiana ranks fourth in steals per game (9.2) while Charlotte ranks 19th (7.0).
- Indiana is 5-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Charlotte is 2-0.
- The Pacers are 9-2 when they score more than 100 points, while the Hornets are 8-7.
- Indiana is 3-4-1 ATS on the road, while Charlotte is 5-3 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 5 of the Hornets’ 8 home games, while 5 of the Pacers’ 8 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Indiana and Charlotte are both 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
- During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 106.0 points per game (0.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 98.2 points per game (2.7 below their season average).
- The Hornets have been outscored by an average of 2.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Charlotte has defeated opponents by an average of 4.6 points.
