The Indiana Pacers (28-15) head to Vivint Smart Home Arena to meet the Utah Jazz (29-13). The Pacers are a 7-point underdog and will attempt to extend their five-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 217 points and it begins at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, January 20, 2020.
Indiana Pacers at Utah Jazz ATS Odds
Both teams covered in their last contest. The Jazz (9.5-point favorites) defeated the Sacramento Kings 123-101, while the Pacers (6.5-point underdog) beat the Denver Nuggets 115-107. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Utah game finished 1 point over the projected point total of 223, while the Indiana game went 4 points over the projected point total of 218.
Indiana’s 0.576 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Denver, who had a rate of 0.483. The Pacers’ mark was above their season average of 0.529. The Jazz, meanwhile, made 23 of their 24 free throws (95.8 percent) and held the Kings to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.9 (below their season average of 22.4). Utah rallied around Rudy Gobert, who recorded 28 points and 15 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis, meanwhile led the way for Indiana with 22 points, 15 rebounds and 10 assists to register his zeroth triple-double of the year.
In their first matchup this year, Sabonis led the Pacers to a 121-102 victory. He recorded a double-double with 23 points and 12 rebounds. The two teams combined for 223 points, which was well over the projected point total of 207.5, and Indiana covered as a 1-point favorite. The Pacers’ 10.4 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Jazz, who had a mark of 14.5.
It’s tough to find a trend for games featuring the Pacers in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Indiana heads into the game with records of 28-15 straight up (SU) and 22-18-2 against the spread (ATS).
Jazz games have finished over the O/U total 52.4 percent of the time. Further, Utah owns records of 29-13 SU and 21-19-2 ATS.
Half-court execution will be critical when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams clash. Utah ranks 28th in possessions per game (100.4) and Indiana is 25th (100.5). Ball protection should be an advantage for the Pacers. They rank 5th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.4 percent). Conversely, the Jazz force the third-fewest turnovers in the NBA (opponents’ turnover percentage of 12.0 percent).
Indiana Pacers vs. Utah Jazz Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Jazz average 47.7 points in the paint per game, which ranks 16th in the NBA. The Pacers rank 17th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.5).
- Indiana ranks sixth in assists per game (26.0) while Utah ranks 25th (22.0).
- The Jazz rank 16th in three pointers attempted per game (33.0) while the Pacers rank last (27.6).
- Indiana ranks 17th in fast break points per game (12.6) while Utah ranks 28th (10.2).
- Indiana ranks 25th in second chance points per game (12.1) while Utah ranks 29th (11.2).
- The Pacers rank first in steals allowed per game (6.6) while the Jazz rank 15th (7.5).
- The Pacers rank 20th in points off turnovers per game (16.3) while the Jazz rank 25th (14.6).
- Indiana ranks 13th in blocks per game (5.1) while Utah ranks 27th (4.1).
- Indiana is 8-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Utah is 10-1.
- The Jazz are 28-8 when they score above 100 points, while the Pacers are 28-9.
- Indiana is 11-9 ATS on the road, while Utah is 10-8-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 10 of the Pacers’ 20 road games, while 11 of the Jazz’s 19 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Jazz are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Pacers are 3-2.
- In their last five games, Utah has 4 overs and 1 under, while Indiana has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Jazz’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 11.0, up from 4.1 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 110.4 points per game (0.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.0 points per game (2.3 below their season average).
