The Indiana Pacers (13-7), 1-point favorites, will travel to Chesapeake Energy Arena to meet the Oklahoma City Thunder (8-11). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 212.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 4, 2019.
Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Odds
Both teams covered in their last outing. The Thunder (2.5-point underdogs) defeated the New Orleans Pelicans 107-104, while the Pacers (9-point favorite) beat the Memphis Grizzlies 117-104. The Oklahoma City game went 15.5 points under the projected point total of 226.5, while the Indiana game finished 4 points over the projected point total of 217.
The Pacers had a solid effective field goal percentage of 0.591 (above their season average of 0.523) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (21.1 vs. 18.2). The Thunder, meanwhile, knocked down 20 of their 26 free throws (76.9 percent) and held the Pelicans to an offensive rebounding percentage of 6.7 (below their season average of 23.8). Oklahoma City was led by Danilo Gallinari, who contributed 23 points and 11 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis played well for Indiana, contributing 18 points, 14 rebounds and eight assists.
In their first matchup this season, Sabonis led the Pacers to a 111-85 victory. He recorded a double-double with 18 points and 16 rebounds. The two teams combined to score 196 points, which was well under the projected point total of 212, and Indiana covered as a 2-point favorite. The Pacers’ 26.2 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over the Thunder, who had a rate of 18.8.
It’s tough to find a trend for games involving the Pacers in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Indiana holds records of 13-7 straight up (SU) and 10-8-2 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas tends to set the total high when the Thunder are involved, as 57.9 percent of their games have ended under the O/U total. Further, Oklahoma City is 8-11 SU and 11-7-1 ATS.
Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams battle. Oklahoma City currently ranks 25th in possessions per game (101.1) and Indiana is 21st (102.2).
Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder Odds Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Indiana ranks 12th in second chance points per game (13.3) while Oklahoma City ranks 29th (9.2).
- The Pacers rank 11th in blocks per game (5.3) while the Thunder rank 18th in blocks allowed per game (4.9).
- Indiana ranks eighth in points in the paint per game (49.0) while Oklahoma City ranks 15th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.5).
- Indiana ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (22.4) while Oklahoma City ranks seventh (22.8).
- The Pacers rank 15th in fast break points per game (12.9) while the Thunder rank last (9.1).
- The Thunder rank 22nd in three pointers attempted per game (30.3) while the Pacers rank 28th (26.6).
- Indiana ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.5) while Oklahoma City ranks 20th (46.1).
- Indiana is 4-1 when they allow less than 100 points, while Oklahoma City is 3-2.
- In games where they reach 100 points, the Thunder are 8-6 and the Pacers are 13-4.
- Oklahoma City is 6-3-1 ATS at home, while Indiana is 5-4 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 6 of the Thunder’s 10 home games, while 5 of the Pacers’ 9 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Pacers are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Thunder are 2-2-1.
- In their last five games, Indiana has 4 overs and 1 under, while Oklahoma City has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 117.0 points per game (7.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.6 points per game (4.0 above their season average).
- The Thunder’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.8, up from 0.8 for the season.
