Indiana Pacers at New Orleans Pelicans ATS Prediction 12/28/19

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The Indiana Pacers (21-11) and the New Orleans Pelicans (9-23) square off at Smoothie King Center. The Pelicans will attempt to end a seven-game home losing streak. The game can be seen on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 28, 2019.

Indiana Pacers vs. New Orleans Pelicans ATS Odds

In their last matchup, the Pelicans (9-point underdogs) covered in a 112-100 win over the Denver Nuggets. The Pacers fell to the Miami Heat, 113-112, but did cover as 7.5-point underdogs. The New Orleans game went 4 points under the projected point total of 216, while the Indiana game went 17 points over the projected point total of 208.

The Pelicans, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 22.5, had an absurd mark of 34.1 and held the Nuggets to an effective field goal percentage of 0.467 (below their season average of 0.518). Indiana, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 4.0 (better than their season average of 11.6). New Orleans was lifted by Brandon Ingram, who contributed 31 points and seven rebounds. Aaron Holiday had a good outing for Indiana, contributing 17 points and nine assists.

The Pacers dominated this series last year, taking both games. In the most recent game, Indiana won 126-111. The Pacers’ turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Pelicans. Indiana had a rate of 9.2, while New Orleans posted a mark of 13.8. This is the first time these teams will clash this year.

Of the Pacers’ 31 games that accepted bets, 18 have gone under the O/U total. Indiana comes into the contest with records of 21-11 straight up (SU) and 16-13-2 against the spread (ATS).

Much like Indiana, Pelicans games also have typically gone under the O/U total (56.3 percent). Additionally, New Orleans owns records of 9-23 SU and 11-19-2 ATS.

The Pacers’ Myles Turner has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 16 points,6.4 rebounds,2.6 blocks per game. Meanwhile, Derrick Favors has averaged 10 rebounds,7.4 points,1.6 blocks during that same time frame for the Pelicans.

New Orleans might struggle to put up points as they square off against one of the league’s best defenses. Indiana currently ranks seventh in defensive efficiency, while the Pelicans rank 21st in offensive efficiency. Ball protection should be an advantage for the Pacers. They rank 3rd at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.5 percent), while the Pelicans force the seventh-fewest turnovers in the league (opponents’ turnover percentage of 13.4 percent).

Indiana Pacers vs. New Orleans Pelicans Betting Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Pacers rank 20th in rebounds per game (44.1) while the Pelicans rank 23rd in rebounds allowed per game (46.4).
  • New Orleans ranks fifth in three pointers attempted per game (38.5) while Indiana ranks 29th (27.9).
  • The Pacers rank second in steals allowed per game (6.6) while the Pelicans rank 16th (7.9).
  • Indiana ranks eighth in assists per game (25.5) while New Orleans ranks 20th in assists allowed per game (24.8).
  • New Orleans ranks 21st in second chance points per game (12.8) while Indiana ranks 26th (11.9).
  • The Pacers rank third in fast break points allowed per game (11.8) while the Pelicans rank 26th (14.9).
  • The Pacers average 47.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks 15th in the league. The Pelicans rank 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.0).
  • Indiana ranks seventh in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.6) while New Orleans ranks 27th (19.1).
  • In games where they allow below 100 points, Indiana is 5-1 and New Orleans is 2-0.
  • The Pelicans are 9-20 when they reach the century mark, while the Pacers are 21-6.
  • Indiana is 7-7 ATS on the road, while New Orleans is 5-10 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 9 of the Pelicans’ 15 home games, while 9 of the Pacers’ 14 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Indiana and New Orleans are both 3-2 ATS.
  • The Pacers have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Pelicans have 5 unders
  • During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 109.0 points per game (0.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 110.4 points per game (5.2 above their season average).
  • The Pelicans have outscored opponents by an average of 3.4 points in their last five games. On the season, New Orleans has lost by an average of 5.6 points.