The Houston Rockets (13-6) will be at the AT&T Center to square off with the San Antonio Spurs (7-14) in a Southwest Division matchup. The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 3, 2019, and will air on ATTSN Southwest.
Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs ATS Odds
In the Rockets’ last matchup, they easily covered the 13.5-point spread against the Atlanta Hawks, 158-111. The Spurs, meanwhile, were blown out by the Detroit Pistons, 132-98, and were unable to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Houston game went 30.5 points over the projected point total of 238.5, while the San Antonio game finished 13 points over the projected point total of 217.
Houston dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 38.2 (above their season average of 23.0) and a free throw rate of 0.326 (above their season average of 0.254). Atlanta was 17.0 and 0.225, respectively, for those same stats. San Antonio, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (7.6 vs. 13.5). DeMar DeRozan played a pivotal role for San Antonio with 20 points. Houston, meanwhile, received a boost from James Harden, who put up 60 points and eight assists.
The Rockets captured this series last year, emerging victorious in three out of four games. In the last matchup, Houston won 111-105. One of Houston’s largest strengths was getting to the charity stripe. They had 32 free throw attempts, while San Antonio had 17. This is the first time these teams will battle this year.
Of the Rockets’ 19 games, 11 have gone under the total. Houston heads into the contest with records of 13-6 straight up (SU) and 11-8 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Spurs’ 21 games, 11 have finished over the projected point total. Moreover, San Antonio is 7-14 SU and 4-16-1 ATS.
Houston may struggle to create turnovers. San Antonio ranks third in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.7 percent), while Houston forces the 15th-most turnovers (14.3 percent). Also, the Rockets rank third in offensive efficiency (112.2), while the Spurs rank 26th in defensive efficiency (111.8).
Rockets at Spurs Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Spurs rank 15th in rebounds per game (45.3) while the Rockets rank 22nd in rebounds allowed per game (46.2).
- Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (45.7) while San Antonio ranks last (25.7).
- The Rockets rank sixth in second chance points per game (14.6) while the Spurs rank 25th (12.0).
- San Antonio accounts for 14.3 fast-break points per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Houston ranks 29th in fast-break points allowed per game (16.7).
- San Antonio ranks 16th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.2) while Houston ranks 25th (50.8).
- The Spurs rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (13.8) while the Rockets rank 25th (18.9).
- The Spurs rank 13th in assists per game (24.0) while the Rockets rank 26th in assists allowed per game (25.6).
- Houston ranks seventh in steals per game (8.5) while San Antonio ranks 27th (6.2).
- San Antonio is 1-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Houston is 2-0.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Spurs are 7-11 and the Rockets are 13-5.
- San Antonio is 2-9 ATS at home, while Houston is 5-4 ATS on the road.
- In 9 road games, the Rockets have 7 unders and 2 overs.
- The Spurs have 5 overs, 5 unders and 1 push in 11 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Rockets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Houston has 3 overs and 2 unders, while San Antonio has 4 unders and 1 over.
- The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.8, up from 5.8 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 104.2 points per game (6.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 112.0 points per game (3.1 below their season average).
