The Houston Rockets (33-18) will travel to Talking Stick Resort Arena to meet the Phoenix Suns (20-31). Action gets underway at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, February 7, 2020, and can be seen on ATTSN Southwest.
Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns ATS Odds
The Rockets come in on a high note after beating the Los Angeles Lakers in their last contest, 121-111, as 13-point underdogs. The Suns, on the other hand, were defeated by the Detroit Pistons, 116-108, and failed to cover as 3-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Houston game went 9 points over the projected point total of 223, while the Phoenix game went 7 points over the projected point total of 217.
The Rockets made 16 of their 18 free throws (88.9 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.618 (above their season average of 0.536). Phoenix, meanwhile, did an excellent job of making free throws (12-15; 80.0 percent). Phoenix’s Deandre Ayton led the way, contributing 26 points and 12 rebounds. Houston, meanwhile, received a boost from Russell Westbrook, who finished with 41 points, eight rebounds and five assists.
In their two matchups this year, the Rockets have won both. The two teams combined to score 264 points in their most recent game, which was well over the projected point total of 238. Houston won 139-125, covering as a 9-point favorite. Houston made 19 of its 41 three pointers (46.3 percent). Phoenix, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (23.8 vs. 13.9). James Harden was the game’s leading scorer with 47 points.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Rockets games, with 27 unders compared to 23 overs. Houston comes into the contest with records of 33-18 straight up (SU) and 25-25 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Houston, a little over half of Suns games have finished over the O/U total. Moreover, Phoenix owns records of 20-31 SU and 24-26-1 ATS.
The aggressive Houston offense looks poised to dominate from the charity stripe. The Rockets currently rank fourth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.227, while Phoenix ranks 23rd in FTA rate allowed (0.219).
Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns ATS Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Rockets average 8.2 steals per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. The Suns rank 20th in steals allowed per game (8.0).
- Phoenix ranks second in assists per game (26.9) while Houston ranks 28th (21.6).
- The Suns average 18.1 points off turnovers per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. The Rockets rank 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.5).
- Houston ranks 13th in blocks per game (5.0) while Phoenix ranks 27th (4.0).
- Phoenix ranks 11th in rebounds allowed per game (44.3) while Houston ranks 25th (46.6).
- The Suns rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (31.6) while the Rockets rank 27th (35.5).
- The Suns rank 11th in second chance points allowed per game (12.5) while the Rockets rank 25th (13.9).
- Phoenix averages 48.0 points in the paint per game, which ranks 15th in the NBA. Houston ranks 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.5).
- Phoenix ranks ninth in fast break points allowed per game (12.5) while Houston ranks 28th (15.5).
- When holding opponents below 100 points, Phoenix is 6-2 and Houston is 3-0.
- The Suns are 19-25 when they reach 100 points, while the Rockets are 33-16.
- Phoenix is 10-15-1 ATS at home, while Houston is 12-13 ATS on the road.
- Of the Rockets’ 25 road games, they have 15 unders and 10 overs.
- Of the Suns’ 26 home games, they have 15 overs and 11 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Houston and Phoenix have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Rockets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 1-4.
- During their last five games, the Rockets have scored an average of 120.6 points per game (1.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.2 points per game (0.8 above their season average).
- The Suns’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.2, up from 1.5 for the season.
