The Phoenix Suns (11-43) and the Houston Rockets (30-22) go head-to-head at Talking Stick Resort Arena. The Suns are 8-point underdogs and will try to put an end to their 10-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 229.5 points and it can be seen on ATTSN Southwest at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, February 4, 2019.
Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns ATS Odds
The Rockets won big over the Utah Jazz in their last game, 125-98, despite being 7-point underdogs. The Suns, on the other hand, were defeated by the Atlanta Hawks, 118-112, and were unable to cover as 2-point underdogs. The Houston game went 1.5 points over the projected point total of 221.5, while the Phoenix game finished 4.5 points under the projected point total of 234.5.
Houston played a nearly flawless game. They had a turnover percentage of 11.9 (better than their season average of 12.0) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.546 (above their season average of 0.535). For those same stats, Utah was 16.4 and 0.424, respectively. Phoenix, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 8.8 (better than their season average of 13.8). Devin Booker played well for Phoenix, putting up 32 points, 10 assists and eight rebounds. Meanwhile, Houston received a boost from James Harden, who had 43 points, 12 rebounds and six steals.
The Rockets dominated this series last year, taking all four games. In the last matchup, Houston won 104-103. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Houston’s largest strengths. They had 29 free throw attempts, while Phoenix had just 13. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Vegas has a tendency to set the total low when the Rockets are involved, as 29 of their 52 games have ended over the total. Houston comes into the contest with records of 30-22 straight up (SU) and 24-27-1 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Houston, Suns games have a slight tendency to go under the total (53.7 percent). Additionally, Phoenix owns records of 11-43 SU and 23-31 ATS.
The Rockets’ Kenneth Faried has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 17 points,9.8 rebounds,1.4 blocks,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Kelly Oubre Jr. has averaged 15 points,2.0 blocks during that same time frame for the Suns.
Houston could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their prolific offense faces off against one of the NBA’s worst defenses. The Rockets currently rank third in offensive efficiency, while Phoenix ranks 29th in defensive efficiency.
Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Rockets rank 16th in rebounds allowed per game (44.7) while the Suns rank 25th (46.4).
- Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (44.3) while Phoenix ranks 21st (29.5).
- The Suns rank second in steals per game (9.1) while the Rockets rank 19th in steals allowed per game (7.9).
- Houston ranks 11th in fast break points allowed per game (13.1) while Phoenix ranks 28th (15.6).
- Phoenix ranks 13th in points in the paint per game (48.7) while Houston ranks 28th (42.8).
- The Rockets rank ninth in assists allowed per game (23.4) while the Suns rank 28th (25.8).
- The Rockets average 13.4 second chance points per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. The Suns rank last in second chance points allowed per game (15.3).
- Houston ranks 11th in points off turnovers per game (17.0) while Phoenix ranks 29th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.7).
- When holding opponents below 100 points, Houston is 9-2 and Phoenix is 4-1.
- When scoring over 100 points, the Suns are 10-27 and the Rockets are 28-14.
- Phoenix is 11-16 ATS at home, while Houston is 9-16 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 13 of the Rockets’ 25 road games, while 16 of the Suns’ 27 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Rockets are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Houston has 4 overs and 1 under, while Phoenix has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.0, up from 1.6 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 107.8 points per game (1.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 122.4 points per game (6.7 above their season average).
