The Denver Nuggets (9-4) will be at home in the Pepsi Center when they clash against the Houston Rockets (5-7). The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 13, 2018, and will air on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt.
Houston Rockets at Denver Nuggets ATS Odds
The Rockets beat the Indiana Pacers in their last outing, 115-103, easily covering as 2.5-point favorites. The Nuggets, on the other hand, were defeated by the Milwaukee Bucks, 121-114, and failed to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Houston game finished 8 points over the projected point total of 210, while the Denver game finished 10.5 points over the projected point total of 224.5.
Houston played a nearly perfect game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 21.1 (below their season average of 23.8) and a free throw rate of 0.311 (above their season average of 0.174). Indiana recorded marks of 14.3 and 0.256, respectively, for those same stats. Denver, meanwhile, did an excellent job of converting from the charity stripe (14-20; 70.0 percent). Denver was lifted by Paul Millsap, who recorded 25 points, eight rebounds and six assists. Meanwhile, James Harden played a pivotal role for Houston with 40 points, nine assists and seven rebounds.
The Rockets dominated this series last year, winning all three games. In the last game, Houston won 119-114. Houston made good use of their 32 trips to the free throw line, making 26 of them (81.3 percent). Denver, on the other hand, was just 16-24 (66.7 percent). This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.
Vegas has been spot on when setting the O/U total of Rockets games, with an even split between overs and unders. Houston holds records of 5-7 straight up (SU) and 4-8 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas has a tendency to place the total high when the Nuggets are involved, as 61.5 percent of their games have gone under the total. Additionally, Denver owns records of 9-4 SU and 7-6 ATS.
Half-court execution will be critical when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams battle. Denver ranks 25th in possessions per game (101.2) and Houston is 29th (99.2). ,
Houston Rockets at Denver Nuggets Betting Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Nuggets rank 10th in points off turnovers per game (17.7) while the Rockets rank 12th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.2).
- Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (42.3) while Denver ranks 23rd (28.8).
- The Nuggets rank fourth in second chance points per game (16.5) while the Rockets rank 20th (11.9).
- Houston ranks seventh in blocks per game (6.0) while Denver ranks 22nd in blocks allowed per game (6.3).
- Denver ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (40.7) while Houston ranks 10th (44.7).
- The Nuggets rank sixth in points in the paint per game (53.4) while the Rockets rank 26th (40.3).
- The Rockets average 8.5 steals per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Nuggets rank 18th in steals allowed per game (8.0).
- Denver ranks 11th in assists per game (24.5) while Houston ranks 29th (19.8).
- In games where they allow under 100 points, Houston is 2-2 and Denver is 5-1.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Rockets are 3-3 and the Nuggets are 9-3.
- Houston is 3-4 ATS on the road, while Denver is 5-3 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 4 of the Rockets’ 7 road games, while 4 of the Nuggets’ 8 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Houston and Denver are both 2-3 ATS.
- The Rockets have 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games, while the Nuggets have 3 overs and 2 unders,
- The Rockets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.2, down from 4.7 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 105.8 points per game (4.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.4 points per game (0.1 below their season average).
