Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz ATS Prediction 02/02/19

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The Houston Rockets (29-22) and their great offense travel to Utah as 7-point underdogs to play the Jazz (30-23) and their exceptional defense. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 222.5 points and it will air on ATTSN Southwest at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 2, 2019.

Houston Rockets vs. Utah Jazz Betting Odds

The Jazz hope to keep it rolling after topping the Atlanta Hawks in their last outing, 128-112, as 2.5-point underdogs. The Rockets, on the other hand, were defeated by the Denver Nuggets, 136-122, and were not able to cover as 13.5-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Utah game went 21.5 points over the projected point total of 218.5, while the Houston game went 24 points over the projected point total of 234.

Utah dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.6 (above their season average of 22.0) and a free throw rate of 0.276 (above their season average of 0.219). For those same stats, Atlanta was 16.7 and 0.204, respectively. Houston, meanwhile, had an effective field goal percentage of 0.624 (above their season average of 0.533). Utah was led by Rudy Gobert, who put up 25 points and 13 rebounds. James Harden played a key role for Houston with 30 points, nine assists and six rebounds.

The Jazz lead the season series two games to one. The two teams combined to put up 199 points in their most recent game, which was under the projected point total of 213. Utah lost 102-97, covering as a 5-point underdog. The Rockets’ turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Jazz. Houston had a rate of 14.6, while Utah posted a mark of 19.4. Harden scored a game-high 47 points.

Of the Rockets’ 50 games that accepted bets, 27 have finished over the projected point total. Houston holds records of 29-22 straight up (SU) and 23-26-1 against the spread (ATS).

It’s tough to find a trend for games featuring the Jazz in regards to the projected point total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Further, Utah is 30-23 SU and 25-25-2 ATS.

The Rockets’ Kenneth Faried has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 15 points,9.8 rebounds,1.4 blocks,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Donovan Mitchell has averaged 29 points,5.8 assists,5.6 rebounds during that same time frame for the Jazz.

The physical Utah offense might be living from the foul line in this showdown. The Jazz rank fifth in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.220, while Houston ranks 26th in FTA rate allowed (0.220). Also, the Rockets rank third in offensive efficiency (112.1), while the Jazz rank fourth in defensive efficiency (103.8).

Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz Odds Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Rockets rank first in three pointers attempted per game (44.5) while the Jazz rank eighth (33.4).
  • Utah ranks seventh in points allowed in the paint per game (46.9) while Houston ranks 28th (53.7).
  • The Jazz rank fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.3) while the Rockets rank 18th (13.8).
  • Utah ranks second in rebounds allowed per game (42.8) while Houston ranks 16th (44.5).
  • Houston ranks 19th in fast break points per game (11.6) while Utah ranks 29th (9.3).
  • The Jazz rank 11th in assists per game (25.0) while the Rockets rank 28th (20.8).
  • The Rockets rank 14th in points off turnovers per game (16.9) while the Jazz rank 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.6).
  • Utah ranks ninth in blocks per game (5.5) while Houston ranks 11th in blocks allowed per game (4.8).
  • Houston ranks 12th in steals per game (8.0) while Utah ranks 28th in steals allowed per game (8.6).
  • Utah is 14-3 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Houston is 8-2.
  • The Rockets are 27-14 when they reach the century mark, while the Jazz are 28-13.
  • Houston is 8-15 ATS on the road, while Utah is 12-11-1 ATS at home.
  • Of the Rockets’ 23 road games, they have 13 unders, 9 overs and 1 push.
  • The Jazz have 13 unders and 11 overs in 24 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Jazz are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Rockets are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Utah has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Houston has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 115.6 points per game (6.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.0 points per game (7.2 above their season average).
  • The Rockets have been outscored by an average of 1.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Houston has defeated opponents by an average of 1.1 points.