The Houston Rockets (29-17) will travel to Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to square off against the Portland Trail Blazers (20-27). Action begins at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 29, 2020, and can be seen on ESPN.
Houston Rockets vs. Portland Trail Blazers Betting Odds
Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Trail Blazers (2-point favorites) defeated the Indiana Pacers 139-129, while the Rockets (14.5-point underdog) beat the Utah Jazz 126-117. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Portland game went 48 points over the projected point total of 220, while the Houston game finished 22.5 points over the projected point total of 220.5.
Houston played a nearly flawless game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.3 (below their season average of 24.1) and a free throw rate of 0.432 (above their season average of 0.228). For those same stats, Utah put up marks of 5.6 and 0.224, respectively. Meanwhile, Portland played a nearly perfect game. They had a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 32.4 (above their season average of 21.9) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.656 (above their season average of 0.518). Indiana was 16.2 and 0.586, respectively, for those same stats. Portland received a boost from Damian Lillard, who finished with 50 points, 13 assists and six rebounds. Eric Gordon, meanwhile led the way for Houston, contributing 50 points and six rebounds.
The Trail Blazers won the most recent matchup 117-107 to even the season series at one. Despite the loss, Russell Westbrook put up a triple-double with 31 points, 12 assists and 11 rebounds. The Trail Blazers’ turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Rockets. Portland had a rate of 6.1, while Houston posted a mark of 10.2. Portland covered as a 9-point underdog and the two teams combined to put up 224 points, which was under the projected point total of 237.5.
Just over half of the Rockets’ games have finished under the total. Houston heads into the contest with records of 29-17 straight up (SU) and 23-23 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Houston, a little over half of Trail Blazers games have finished over the projected point total. Additionally, Portland is 20-27 SU and 17-28-2 ATS.
Houston may struggle to create turnovers. Portland ranks fourth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.2 percent), while Houston forces the 16th-most turnovers (13.6 percent). Moreover, the Rockets rank third in offensive efficiency (111.6), while the Trail Blazers rank 24th in defensive efficiency (110.8).
Houston Rockets at Portland Trail Blazers ATS Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Trail Blazers rank 15th in fast break points per game (12.8) while the Rockets rank 27th in fast break points allowed per game (15.7).
- Houston averages 46.9 rebounds per game, which ranks fifth in the league. Portland ranks last in rebounds allowed per game (47.9).
- The Rockets rank 12th in steals per game (7.9) while the Trail Blazers rank last (5.7).
- Houston ranks 13th in second chance points per game (13.1) while Portland ranks last in second chance points allowed per game (15.5).
- Houston ranks 15th in points in the paint per game (47.7) while Portland ranks 27th (43.6).
- The Trail Blazers rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.4) while the Rockets rank 26th (18.3).
- The Trail Blazers rank 14th in assists allowed per game (23.9) while the Rockets rank 27th (25.6).
- Portland ranks second in blocks per game (6.4) while Houston ranks 13th (5.0).
- Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (43.2) while Portland ranks 22nd in three pointers allowed per game (34.9).
- Portland is 4-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Houston is 3-0.
- When reaching 100 points, the Trail Blazers are 20-21 and the Rockets are 29-15.
- Portland is 7-14-1 ATS at home, while Houston is 12-12 ATS on the road.
- The Rockets have 14 unders and 10 overs in 24 road games.
- Of the Trail Blazers’ 22 home games, they have 14 overs and 8 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- The Rockets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Trail Blazers are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Houston has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Portland has 5 overs.
- During their last five games, the Rockets have scored an average of 119.0 points per game (0.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.0 points per game (0.7 above their season average).
- The Trail Blazers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.8, up from 2.1 for the season.
