The Milwaukee Brewers are prepared to battle against the Houston Astros at Miller Park. This interleague matchup is going to be televised nationally on ESPN and the game gets underway 4:10 p.m. ET.
Houston Astros at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Houston (-165) as the favorite over Milwaukee (+155). The total stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for +100 and the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -115 for the Astros -1.5 runs and -105 for the Brewers +1.5.
The Brewers are 70-66 straight up (SU) and 58-77 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 25.3 units ATS. Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Astros are 89-49 SU and have gone 73-64 against the spread. In total, the team’s gained 0.1 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 1.1 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Brewers games have an over/under record of 59-71-5 in 2019. The Astros have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 62-70-5.
Gerrit Cole will get the nod for Houston. The right-handed Cole is 15-5 with a 2.85 ERA and 252 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Brewers are turning to righty Adrian Houser (6-5, 3.52 ERA), who’s got 87 strikeouts and 30 walks, along with a 1.28 WHIP. Houser is 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Houston this year.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 4.70 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.59 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.
The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .216/.288/.323 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ batters have been led by outfielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas. Yelich is slashing .328/.423/.670 with 42 home runs, 92 RBIs, 95 runs and 26 stolen bases, while Moustakas is hitting .262 with 31 homers, 76 RBIs and 71 runs.
For the visitors, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.66 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.33 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.80, along with a WHIP of 1.10 and a K-per-9 of 9.68.
Astros hitters have slashed .275/.355/.488 on their way to 5.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 7.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Left fielder Michael Brantley and first baseman Yuli Gurriel continue to lead Houston’s hitters. Brantley is slashing .329/.389/.529 with 19 home runs, 80 RBIs and 82 runs scored. Gurriel (.309/.353/.555) is up to 27 homers, 97 RBIs and 78 runs scored.
The Astros have lost 9.7 units and are 52-47 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 48 of those games, compared to 48 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 3.2 units and are 41-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 46 of those games, as opposed to 44 that’ve cashed the under.
Astros vs. Brewers Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in five of Houston’s last seven outings.
- The Astros have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit nine over their last 10.
- The Astros have an OPS of .843 this season and an OPS of .819 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .772 overall and .782 versus righties.
- Milwaukee has recorded 18.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.2 over its last five.