The Houston Astros will be taking on their divisional rival Seattle Mariners in a Wednesday night game. The matchup begins at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can watch the game on RTNW and ATSW.
Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Odds
Seattle (+300) is entering into this one as a huge underdog against Houston (-375) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -220 for the Astros -1.5 runs and +180 for the Mariners +1.5.
The Astros are 103-54 SU and have gone 84-72 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot this year, gaining 3.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having lost 0.8 units ATS. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 66-91 SU and 78-78 ATS. They’ve lost 14.1 units for moneyline bettors and 10.0 units ATS.
Mariners games have an 85-60-11 over/under record in 2019. The Astros have been a decent under bet with a total record of 71-80-5.
The right-handed Zack Greinke is getting the start for the visiting Astros. Greinke is 17-5 with a 3.05 ERA and 178 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and six strikeouts across 6.2 innings).
The Mariners are countering with Yusei Kikuchi (6-10, 5.55 ERA). Kikuchi has 112 strikeouts and 50 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.54. Kikuchi is 0-1 with 11 strikeouts and a 6.43 ERA over three starts against Houston this year.
Seattle’s pitchers have given up 5.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 5.29 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.91 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 71 games against divisional foes, Mariners starters have an ERA of 5.96 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.96.
The Seattle offense is putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .207/.259/.303 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Mariners’ offense has been led by catcher Omar Narvaez and outfielder Mallex Smith. Narvaez is hitting .282/.355/.468 with 22 home runs, 55 RBIs and 63 runs scored, and Smith’s line is .228/.301/.337 with six homers, 37 RBIs, 69 runs and 45 steals.
In the other dugout, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.66 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.54 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.81, along with a K/9 of 9.91.
Astros hitters have slashed .275/.356/.496 on their way to 5.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Houston’s offensive production has been sparked by outfielder Michael Brantley and first baseman Yuli Gurriel, who have combined to belt 51 home runs. Brantley is slashing .313/.374/.501 with 21 home runs, 86 RBIs and 87 runs scored, while Gurriel is hitting .302/.347/.546 with 30 homers, 102 RBIs and 84 runs scored.
The Astros have gained 10.3 units and are 24-21 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 0.0 units and are 57-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 59 of those games, compared to 38 that went under the total.
Astros at Mariners MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in three of Seattle’s last seven games.
- The Astros have an OPS of .853 this season, including an OPS of .876 against left-handed pitchers. The Mariners’ OPS stands at .749 overall and .757 against southpaws.
- The Astros have won eight of their last nine games SU while the Mariners have dropped three of their last four.
- Seattle has posted 22.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.0 over its last five.
- The Astros have hit 24 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
