Boston Bruins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Free Pick

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Patrice Bergeron, David Pastrnak, and the Boston Bruins will face off against John Tavares, Mitchell Marner, and the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena in an Original Six matchup. New England Sports Network will broadcast the game, and the action gets going at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, November 26.

Boston Bruins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The Maple Leafs (-140) are the favorite over the Bruins (+120), and the Over/Under (O/U) is placed at 6 goals. The line for betting that total stands at -120 for the over and +100 for the under.

Netting moneyline bettors 4.5 units, Toronto is 16-8 straight up (SU) overall in the 2018-19 season. That winning percentage, ranked third in the NHL so far this season, isn’t too far off from to what the team posted during last year’s regular season (49-33). Out of the team’s 24 regular season contests, 13 of them have gone under the total, while eight have gone over and just three have pushed. This season, the team’s 7-5 SU at home.

The Maple Leafs have connected on 23.0 percent of their power play opportunities this year, a figure that places them in the top-10 among NHL teams. On the other hand, their penalty kill is ranked fifth overall, and they’ve successfully killed off 82.8 percent of all penalties.

Averaging 29.7 saves per game with a .931 save percentage, Frederik Andersen (12-7) has been the primary option in goal for the Leafs this season. If head coach Mike Babcock chooses to give him the evening off, however, Toronto might roll with Garret Sparks (4-1-1 record, .924 save percentage, 2.57 goals against average).

Over on the visiting bench, Boston is 13-10 straight up (SU) and has lost 0.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline thus far. A total of 16 of its contests have gone under the total, while six have gone over and just one has pushed. As a road team , the Bruins are 5-8 SU.

The Bruins have scored on 28.4 percent of their power play chances this season, a figure that places it in the top-five among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 20th overall and it’s successfully killed off 78.4 percent of all opponent power plays.

Jaroslav Halak (1.98 goals against average and .939 save percentage) has been the primary option in goal for Boston. Halak is averaging 28.4 saves per game and has eight wins, six losses, and two OT losses to his credit.

Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Predictions

NHL Tip: SU Winner – Maple Leafs, O/U – Under

Betting Trends

  • Nine of Toronto’s last ten contests have been decided by two or more goals. The team is 6-3 overall in those games.
  • Penalties and power plays could prove to be critical in this matchup. The Bruins are 7-3 in games where they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 8-6 when they’re in the penalty box for fewer than 10 total minutes. The Maple Leafs are 6-3 when the team serves fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 13-8 in games where their penalty minutes are in the single digits.
  • The under has hit in each of Boston’s last five games.
  • Boston is ranked 15th this season with 9.4 giveaways per game. That figure’s trended higher, as it’s averaged 10.7 giveaways over its last 10 games and 11.6 giveaways over its last five.
  • Toronto has averaged 17.2 giveaways over its last five home games, a rise over its season average of 11.9 giveaways per game (ranked 28th overall).