The Green Bay Packers (+6) will clash with the New England Patriots (-6) at Gillette Stadium. This important Sunday Night showdown kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET and spectators can tune in to the action on NBC.
Betting Preview: Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots
Green Bay is a live dog and is currently getting 6 points in this game. The Packers are also receiving +190 moneyline odds while the Patriots are -230. If one team can create a bunch of points early it’ll generate a worthwhile betting opportunity in-game. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 57.5 points.
The Packers are 3-4 against the spread (ATS) and are down 0.3 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 5-2.
The Patriots have gained 0.9 units this season. The team is 4-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 4-3.
The Packers have gone 3-3-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Patriots are 6-2 SU.
The Packers are on the rebound after a narrow 29-27 defeat to the Rams last week where Aaron Rodgers completed 18-of-30 passes for 286 yards and one touchdown. Aaron Jones (86 rushing yards on 12 attempts, one TD) led the running attack while Davante Adams (five receptions, 133 yards) and Randall Cobb (four catches, 40 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
New England enters this one after just earning a 25-6 win over Buffalo last week. The team’s defensive secondary allowed the Bills to air it out for 313 yards. LeSean McCoy had a productive showing in the loss, recording 82 yards on six catches for Buffalo. For New England, Tom Brady completed 29-of-45 passes for 324 yards. Cordarrelle Patterson (38 yards on 10 rush attempts) handled the running game while White (10 receptions, 79 yards) and Julian Edelman (nine catches, 104 yards) led the receiving corps in the win.
Green Bay’s run the ball on 34.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New England has an overall rush percentage of 43.5 percent. The Packers have run for 104.0 yards/game and have four touchdowns on the ground this year. The Pats are logging 115.3 rush yards per game and have eight total rushing TDs.
If 2018 results are any indication, then it appears the Pats ought to hold an advantage in the trenches. Their offensive line has given up just 11 sacks while the D-line has logged 12 sacks. The Packers offensive line has given up 24 sacks and their defense has got to opposing QBs on just 23 occasions.
The Packers offense has logged 334.0 yards per game in the air overall and has 13 passing TDs so far. The Pats have produced 275.0 pass yards per game and have 16 total pass scores.
Defensively, Green Bay should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 119.1 rush yards and 243.1 pass yards per game. The New England D has allowed 289.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 105.5 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Packers have given up an ANY/A of 6.50 to opposing QBs, while the Pats are yielding an ANY/A of 6.10.
Brady has managed to complete 174-of-259 passes for 1,923 yards, 13 TDs and six INTs for New England. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 6.88 for the season and 7.13 over his last two games. In the other huddle, Rodgers has amassed 1,858 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 149-of-238 attempts with 11 passing touchdowns and only one interception. Rodgers has a 7.37 ANY/A, including 8.76 over the last two games.
Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots Free Prediction
SU Winner: Patriots, ATS Winner: Patriots, O/U: Under
Betting Notes
- The Green Bay defensive unit has 23 sacks on the year while New England has just 12.
- The New England offense has lost six fumbles in 2018 while the Green Bay offense has lost seven.
- The Packers offense has registered 10 pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Patriots have put up four such plays.
- Both teams have allowed five pass plays of 40 yards or more. The Green Bay defense has given up 13 pass plays of 30+ yards while New England has given up six such plays.
- The Green Bay offense has created three rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while New England has created four such runs.
- The Packers defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Patriots have given up five such runs.
- Green Bay has rushed for 5.3 yards per attempt across its past three games and 5.5 over its last two.
- New England has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.5 over its last two.
