The Golden State Warriors (9-25) will travel to the AT&T Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs (13-18). The Warriors opened as 9-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 220 points and it will air on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 31, 2019.
Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs ATS Odds
The last time the Spurs were in action, they had no trouble getting past the Detroit Pistons, 136-109, comfortably covering as 4.5-point favorites. The Warriors, meanwhile, were dismantled by the Dallas Mavericks, 141-121, and failed to cover as 10.5-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The San Antonio game finished 24 points over the projected point total of 221, while the Golden State game went 44.5 points over the projected point total of 217.5.
The Spurs had a phenomenal effective field goal percentage of 0.667 (above their season average of 0.522) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (18.9 vs. 18.5). Golden State, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (12.3 vs. 11.4). LaMarcus Aldridge played a key role for San Antonio with 25 points and 12 rebounds. Golden State received a boost from D’Angelo Russell, who had 35 points and six assists.
In their first matchup this season, Patty Mills led the Spurs to a 127-110 win. He was the game’s leading scorer with 31 points. San Antonio covered as a 7-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 237 points, which was over the projected point total of 222.5. San Antonio’s rebounding was their largest advantage. The Spurs had 16 offensive rebounds and 52 total rebounds, while the Warriors had seven and 39, respectively.
Of the Warriors’ 34 games, 19 have finished under the projected point total. Golden State heads into the game with records of 9-25 straight up (SU) and 16-18 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Golden State, Spurs games tend to finish over the total (58.1 percent). Further, San Antonio owns records of 13-18 SU and 10-19-2 ATS.
The Warriors’ Russell has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 26 points,5.6 assists per game. Meanwhile, Aldridge has averaged 22 points,8.4 rebounds,2.4 blocks during that same time frame for the Spurs.
San Antonio could struggle to create turnovers. Golden State ranks 13th in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.8 percent), while San Antonio forces the fourth-fewest turnovers (12.3 percent).
Warriors vs. Spurs Betting Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Spurs rank 24th in points in the paint per game (45.2) while the Warriors rank 27th (44.1).
- Golden State ranks eighth in steals per game (8.3) while San Antonio ranks 25th (6.9).
- The Spurs rank seventh in rebounds per game (46.3) while the Warriors rank 17th in rebounds allowed per game (46.0).
- Golden State averages 24.0 assists per game, which ranks 15th in the league. San Antonio ranks 25th in assists allowed per game (25.2).
- San Antonio ranks 20th in three pointers allowed per game (34.4) while Golden State ranks 25th (35.0).
- The Spurs rank sixth in fast break points per game (14.9) while the Warriors rank 23rd in fast break points allowed per game (14.2).
- The Warriors rank 19th in second chance points per game (13.0) while the Spurs rank 28th (11.4).
- San Antonio averages 5.9 blocks per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Golden State ranks 21st in blocks allowed per game (5.4).
- San Antonio is 1-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Golden State is 4-1.
- When reaching 100 points, the Spurs are 13-14 and the Warriors are 9-16.
- Golden State is 8-9 ATS on the road, while San Antonio is 5-12 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 10 of the Spurs’ 17 home games, while 9 of the Warriors’ 17 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Golden State and San Antonio are both 4-1 ATS.
- The Warriors have 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games, while the Spurs have 4 overs and 1 under
- The Warriors have outscored opponents by an average of 2.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Golden State has lost by an average of 7.6 points.
- During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 121.2 points per game (7.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.0 points per game (2.0 below their season average).
