Golden State Warriors vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Prediction 12/18/19

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The Golden State Warriors (5-23), 9-point underdogs, will travel to Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to challenge the Portland Trail Blazers (11-16). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 219 points and it will air on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 18, 2019.

Golden State Warriors vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Odds

Neither team was able to cover in their last game. The Trail Blazers (2.5-point favorites) beat the Phoenix Suns, 111-110, while the Warriors (4.5-point underdogs) fell to the Sacramento Kings, 100-79. The Portland game finished 6 points under the projected point total of 227, while the Golden State game finished 30.5 points under the projected point total of 209.5.

The Trail Blazers knocked down 17 of their 20 free throws (85.0 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.560 (above their season average of 0.517). Golden State, meanwhile, forced Sacramento into a turnover percentage of 27.8 (above their season average of 13.2). Portland’s CJ McCollum led the way, putting up 30 points, seven rebounds and six assists. Golden State, meanwhile, received a boost from Willie Cauley-Stein, who contributed 14 points, six steals and five rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Eric Paschall led the Warriors to a 127-118 win. He registered a double-double with 34 points and 13 rebounds. The two teams combined to score 245 points, which was well over the projected point total of 220, and Golden State covered as an 11.5-point underdog. Golden State was successful at getting and making free throws. The Warriors made 33 of their 36 free throws (91.7 percent), while the Trail Blazers were 11-14 (78.6 percent).

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Warriors games, with 15 unders compared to 13 overs. Golden State heads into the game with records of 5-23 straight up (SU) and 12-16 against the spread (ATS).

Trail Blazers games also have a slight tendency to finish under the projected point total (51.9 percent). Further, Portland owns records of 11-16 SU and 11-15-1 ATS.

Portland could struggle to create turnovers. Golden State ranks 12th in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.9 percent), while Portland forces the fourth-fewest turnovers (12.6 percent).

Golden State Warriors vs. Portland Trail Blazers Betting Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Trail Blazers average 13.3 fast break points per game, which ranks 13th in the league. The Warriors rank 21st in fast break points allowed per game (13.6).
  • Golden State ranks seventh in steals per game (8.3) while Portland ranks 28th (6.1).
  • The Trail Blazers rank ninth in rebounds per game (46.1) while the Warriors rank 26th (42.9).
  • Portland ranks ninth in assists allowed per game (23.2) while Golden State ranks 26th (25.7).
  • Golden State ranks 20th in second chance points allowed per game (13.4) while Portland ranks 29th (15.7).
  • The Warriors rank 11th in points off turnovers per game (18.0) while the Trail Blazers rank last (14.0).
  • The Trail Blazers rank 15th in three pointers attempted per game (33.6) while the Warriors rank 28th (28.4).
  • Golden State is 26th in the NBA with 44.2 points in the paint per game while Portland is 28th with 43.6 points in the paint per game.
  • Portland ranks third in blocks per game (6.3) while Golden State ranks 21st (4.6).
  • In games where they allow less than 100 points, Portland is 3-0 and Golden State is 3-1.
  • The Trail Blazers are 11-12 when they score above 100 points, while the Warriors are 5-14.
  • Portland is 4-7 ATS at home, while Golden State is 8-8 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 6 of the Trail Blazers’ 11 home games, while 8 of the Warriors’ 16 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Warriors are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Trail Blazers are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Golden State has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Portland has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 101.8 points per game (2.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.2 points per game (4.5 below their season average).
  • The Trail Blazers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.2, up from 1.9 for the season.