It will be a clash between two outstanding offenses when the Philadelphia 76ers (40-22) challenge the Golden State Warriors (43-19) at Wells Fargo Center. The game is scheduled to start at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 2, 2019.
Golden State Warriors at Philadelphia 76ers ATS Odds
The 76ers hope to keep it rolling after beating the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last outing, 108-104, as 4-point underdogs. The Warriors, meanwhile, were beat by the Orlando Magic, 103-96, and were not able to cover as 4-point underdogs. The Philadelphia game finished 27.5 points under the projected point total of 239.5, while the Golden State game finished 25 points under the projected point total of 224.
Philadelphia’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Oklahoma City. The 76ers had a rate of 0.522 (below their season average of 0.538), while the Thunder posted a mark of 0.483. Golden State, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (10.6 vs. 13.6). Ben Simmons played a massive role in the victory for Philadelphia with 11 points, 13 rebounds and 11 assists to register his eighth triple-double of the season. Meanwhile, Golden State was lifted by Stephen Curry, who had 33 points, eight rebounds and six assists.
In their first matchup this season, Joel Embiid led the 76ers to a 113-104 victory. He recorded a double-double with 26 points and 20 rebounds. Philadelphia covered as an 8-point underdog and the two teams combined to score 217 points, which was well under the projected point total of 240.5. Philadelphia’s free throw rate was their largest advantage over Golden State. The 76ers had a rate of 0.216, while the Warriors posted a mark of 0.125.
Of the Warriors’ 62 games, 33 have finished over the O/U total. Golden State is 43-19 straight up (SU), but they struggle covering the spread (25-36-1 against the spread (ATS)).
Similarly to Golden State, 76ers games have a slight tendency to finish over the total (50.0 percent). Further, Philadelphia owns records of 40-22 SU and 29-33 ATS.
The physical Philadelphia offense might be living from the charity stripe in this meeting. The 76ers rank second in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.246, while Golden State ranks 20th in FTA rate allowed (0.205). Moreover, the Warriors’ top-ranked offense (effective field goal percentage of 0.561) will square off against the 76ers’ second-ranked defense (effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.508).
Warriors vs. 76ers Betting Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The 76ers rank fifth in rebounds allowed per game (43.4) while the Warriors rank ninth (44.0).
- Philadelphia ranks fourth in three pointers allowed per game (29.4) while Golden State ranks 26th (33.6).
- The Warriors average 16.8 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 13th in the league. The 76ers rank 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.0).
- Philadelphia ranks 11th in second chance points per game (13.6) while Golden State ranks 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).
- Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (6.5) while Philadelphia ranks ninth (5.5).
- The 76ers average 15.6 fast break points per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. The Warriors rank 25th in fast break points allowed per game (14.9).
- The 76ers average 27.4 assists per game, which ranks third in the NBA. The Warriors rank 13th in assists allowed per game (24.2).
- Golden State ranks 18th in steals per game (7.5) while Philadelphia ranks 19th in steals allowed per game (8.1).
- Philadelphia ranks 15th in points in the paint per game (48.8) while Golden State ranks 28th (42.9).
- In games where they allow below 100 points, Philadelphia is 9-0 and Golden State is 6-0.
- The 76ers are 40-18 when they reach the century mark, while the Warriors are 43-13.
- Philadelphia is 16-16 ATS at home, while Golden State is 14-17 ATS on the road.
- In 31 road games, the Warriors have 19 overs and 12 unders.
- Of the 76ers’ 32 home games, they have 17 overs, 14 unders and 1 push.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Golden State and Philadelphia have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The 76ers are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 1-4.
- During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 113.2 points per game (2.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.4 points per game (0.7 below their season average).
- The Warriors have been outscored by an average of 0.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Golden State has defeated opponents by an average of 6.5 points.
