The Golden State Warriors (9-26) will travel to the Target Center to challenge the Minnesota Timberwolves (12-21). Action begins at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 2, 2020, and can be seen on NBC Sports – California.
Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Odds
Both teams lost in their last matchup. The Warriors (11-point underdogs) were defeated by the San Antonio Spurs, 117-113, while the Timberwolves (4.5-point favorites) fell to the Milwaukee Bucks, 106-104. The Golden State game finished 13 points over the projected point total of 217, while the Minnesota game finished 6 points under the projected point total of 216.
Golden State had a turnover percentage of 7.1 (better than their season average of 12.5) while Minnesota had a better turnover percentage (9.6 vs. 13.9). Minnesota received a boost from Shabazz Napier, who finished with 22 points and six rebounds. Meanwhile, Alec Burks led the way for Golden State, finishing with 28 points.
The Warriors won the most recent matchup by nine points to even the season series at one. Burks was a standout player in the game, producing 25 points and eight assists. The Warriors’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Timberwolves. Golden State had a rate of 29.5, while Minnesota posted a mark of 17.6. Golden State covered as a 1-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 217 points, which was just under the projected point total of 220.5.
Of the Warriors’ 35 games, 19 have finished under the O/U total. Golden State heads into the game with records of 9-26 straight up (SU) and 17-18 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Golden State, games involving the Timberwolves have gone over the total 53.1 percent of the time. Additionally, Minnesota is 12-21 SU and 12-18-2 ATS.
This contest should be a battle of opposite paces. Minnesota prefers an up-and-down style of play (first in possessions per game), while Golden State likes to grind-it-out (14th in possessions per game).
Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Warriors rank 12th in points off turnovers per game (17.5) while the Timberwolves rank 18th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.8).
- Minnesota ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (39.1) while Golden State ranks 27th (29.1).
- The Warriors rank 13th in fast break points per game (13.4) while the Timberwolves rank 27th (10.2).
- Minnesota averages 8.5 steals per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Golden State ranks 17th in steals allowed per game (7.9).
- Minnesota averages 46.7 rebounds per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Golden State ranks 19th in rebounds allowed per game (46.2).
- The Timberwolves rank seventh in points in the paint per game (48.8) while the Warriors rank 27th (44.1).
- The Timberwolves average 13.8 second chance points per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. The Warriors rank 22nd in second chance points allowed per game (13.9).
- Minnesota ranks 23rd in assists per game (21.9) while Golden State ranks 24th in assists allowed per game (25.3).
- Minnesota averages 6.3 blocks per game, which ranks fifth in the league. Golden State ranks 20th in blocks allowed per game (5.5).
- In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Golden State is 4-1 and Minnesota is 1-1.
- The Warriors are 9-17 when they score over 100 points, while the Timberwolves are 12-15.
- Golden State is 9-9 ATS on the road, while Minnesota is 3-11-1 ATS at home.
- Of the Warriors’ 18 road games, they have 10 overs and 8 unders.
- The Timberwolves have 8 overs and 7 unders in 15 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Warriors are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Timberwolves are 2-2-1.
- In their last five games, Golden State has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Minnesota has 4 unders and 1 over.
- The Warriors have outscored opponents by an average of 1.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Golden State has lost by an average of 7.5 points.
- During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 104.6 points per game (7.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.4 points per game (9.1 below their season average).
