Golden State Warriors at Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Prediction 03/19/19

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The Minnesota Timberwolves (32-38) will try to slow down the Golden State Warriors (47-22) at Target Center. The game can be seen on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 19, 2019.

Golden State Warriors at Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Odds

Both teams failed to cover as underdogs in their last game. The Warriors (2-point underdogs) were defeated by the San Antonio Spurs, 111-105, while the Timberwolves (9.5-point underdogs) fell to the Houston Rockets, 117-102. The Golden State game finished 12 points under the projected point total of 228, while the Minnesota game went 4.5 points under the projected point total of 223.5.

Golden State had a better effective field goal percentage (0.540 vs. 0.523) while Minnesota had a better free throw rate (0.174 vs. 0.106). Minnesota was led by Karl-Anthony Towns, who finished with 22 points, 10 rebounds and six assists. Stephen Curry, meanwhile fueled Golden State with 25 points, eight assists and seven rebounds.

In their two matchups this season, the Warriors have won both. The two teams combined to put up 224 points in their most recent game, which was just under the projected point total of 229. Golden State won 116-108 but was unable to cover as a 10-point favorite. Golden State out-rebounded Minnesota. The Warriors had 14 offensive rebounds and 49 total rebounds, while the Timberwolves had nine and 42, respectively. Curry scored a game-high 38 points.

Of the Warriors’ 68 games with betting action, 35 have finished under the O/U total. Golden State is 47-22 straight up (SU), but they are just 28-39-1 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas has a tendency to place the total low when the Timberwolves are involved, as 39 of their 68 games have finished over the projected point total. Moreover, Minnesota is 32-38 SU and 34-36 ATS.

Minnesota could put on a ball-control clinic in this contest. Minnesota ranks third in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.2 percent), while Golden State forces the ninth-fewest turnovers (12.6 percent). Furthermore, the Warriors’ top-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 114.3) will try to exploit the Timberwolves’ 24th-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 110.4).

Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Free Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Timberwolves, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Timberwolves rank first in steals allowed per game (6.5) while the Warriors rank 12th (7.4).
  • Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while Minnesota ranks 27th (5.6).
  • The Warriors rank eighth in three pointers attempted per game (34.4) while the Timberwolves rank 25th (28.6).
  • Minnesota ranks ninth in points in the paint per game (50.3) while Golden State ranks 26th (43.0).
  • Minnesota ranks 10th in points off turnovers per game (17.5) while Golden State ranks 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4).
  • The Warriors average 29.1 assists per game, which ranks first in the league. The Timberwolves rank 26th in assists allowed per game (25.9).
  • The Warriors rank second in fast break points per game (19.4) while the Timberwolves rank 18th (11.8).
  • Golden State ranks ninth in rebounds per game (46.2) while Minnesota ranks 16th in rebounds allowed per game (45.1).
  • Minnesota ranks first in second chance points per game (15.6) while Golden State ranks 22nd (12.6).
  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Minnesota is 11-0 and Golden State is 7-0.
  • The Warriors are 47-15 when they score more than 100 points, while the Timberwolves are 31-32.
  • Golden State is 16-18 ATS on the road, while Minnesota is 19-14 ATS at home.
  • The Warriors have 19 overs and 15 unders in 34 road games.
  • In 33 home games, the Timberwolves have 19 overs and 14 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Warriors are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Timberwolves are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Golden State has 5 unders, while Minnesota has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 110.8 points per game (6.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 104.6 points per game (7.2 below their season average).
  • The Timberwolves’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 9.0, up from 0.9 for the season.