Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Prediction 01/12/20

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The Golden State Warriors (9-31) and the Memphis Grizzlies (17-22) face off at FedExForum. The Warriors are 6.5-point underdogs and will attempt to put an end to their seven-game losing streak. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 12, 2020.

Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies Betting Odds

In their last game, the Grizzlies (1.5-point favorites) covered in a 134-121 win over the San Antonio Spurs. The Warriors fell to the Los Angeles Clippers, 109-100, but did cover as 14.5-point underdogs. The Memphis game finished 24 points over the projected point total of 231, while the Golden State game went 8 points under the projected point total of 217.

Memphis dominated nearly every facet of the contest. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.6 (above their season average of 21.9) and a turnover percentage of 7.0 (better than their season average of 13.2). For those same stats, San Antonio had marks of 11.6 and 10.2, respectively. Golden State, meanwhile, forced Los Angeles into a turnover percentage of 16.9 (above their season average of 12.9). Memphis rallied around Ja Morant, who finished with 22 points, 14 assists and seven rebounds. Alec Burks, meanwhile played well for Golden State, contributing 16 points, eight rebounds and five assists.

The Grizzlies evened the season series at one with a 110-102 victory in their most recent contest. Morant scored a game-high 26 points. Memphis had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.591 vs. 0.435). Golden State, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (19.6 vs. 2.7). Memphis covered as a 3-point underdog and the two teams combined to put up 212 points, which was under the projected point total of 220.5.

Oddsmakers tend to set the total high when the Warriors are involved, as 23 of their 40 contests have ended under the total. Golden State comes into the game with records of 9-31 straight up (SU) and 19-21 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Golden State, games featuring the Grizzlies have a tendency to finish over the total (56.4 percent). Moreover, Memphis is 17-22 SU and 20-18-1 ATS.

It might be an error-filled game for the Memphis offense. Memphis ranks 21st in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.3 percent), while the gambling defense of Golden State forces the fourth-most turnovers in the league (14.8 percent). Additionally, the Warriors rank fifth in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.217), while the Grizzlies rank 28th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.225).

Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Warriors rank 18th in second chance points allowed per game (13.4) while the Grizzlies rank 25th (14.4).
  • Memphis ranks first in points in the paint per game (54.7) while Golden State ranks last (42.8).
  • The Grizzlies average 16.4 fast break points per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Warriors rank 21st in fast break points allowed per game (14.2).
  • Golden State ranks fifth in steals per game (8.4) while Memphis ranks 18th in steals allowed per game (7.8).
  • Memphis ranks 10th in blocks per game (5.3) while Golden State ranks 19th in blocks allowed per game (5.4).
  • The Grizzlies average 27.8 assists per game, which ranks second in the NBA. The Warriors rank 24th in assists allowed per game (25.1).
  • The Grizzlies rank 17th in three pointers attempted per game (32.8) while the Warriors rank 28th (29.0).
  • Memphis averages 45.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 15th in the league. Golden State ranks 22nd in rebounds allowed per game (46.5).
  • Golden State ranks 11th in points off turnovers per game (17.4) while Memphis ranks 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.3).
  • When allowing below 100 points, Memphis is 1-0 and Golden State is 4-2.
  • When scoring more than 100 points, the Warriors are 9-19 and the Grizzlies are 17-17.
  • Memphis is 11-10 ATS at home, while Golden State is 10-11 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 14 of the Grizzlies’ 21 home games, while 11 of the Warriors’ 21 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Memphis has 4 overs and 1 under, while Golden State has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 127.4 points per game (14.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 117.8 points per game (1.4 above their season average).
  • The Warriors’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.6, up from 7.9 for the season.