The Fresno State Bulldogs (+2) aren’t traveling far to battle their MWC foe San Diego State Aztecs at SDCCU Stadium. The game is scheduled to get going at 9:30 p.m. ET and ESPN2 will televise the action.
Betting Preview: Fresno State Bulldogs at San Diego State Aztecs
Fresno State is the road underdog in this MWC game and is currently being given 2 points. The Bulldogs are also receiving +110 moneyline odds while the Aztecs are -130. There will probably be some decent live betting opportunities in the game, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 44 points.
Odds have moved from when they were first posted. The opening line was -1, while the game’s O/U has yet to move after it was initially set at 44.
The Bulldogs have lost 9.1 units this season and are 3-5-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under record of 7-2.
The Aztecs have lost 7.0 units for moneyline bettors this year. They’re 5-4 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-8.
The Bulldogs are 4-5 straight up (SU), including 2-3 SU against MWC opponents. The Aztecs are 7-2 SU overall and 4-2 SU in conference play.
The Bulldogs lost to Utah State 37-35 in a game where the passing attack was sharp, as Jorge Reyna completed 16-of-20 passes for 263 yards. Ronnie Rivers (102 yards on 17 rushes, three TDs) led the running attack in the loss while Zane Pope (six receptions, 61 yards) and Jalen Cropper (three catches, 87 yards) handled the receiving duties.
One game ago, Nevada took care of this San Diego State team by a score of 17-13. The Aztecs defensive unit held its ground in the loss, limiting the Wolf Pack to just 197 passing yards and 29 rushing yards. Brendan O’Leary-Orange had a good outing in the win for Nevada, recording 50 yards and a score on one catch. For San Diego State, Ryan Agnew completed 18-of-35 passes for 196 yards and one interception. Juwan Washington (18 yards on 12 rush attempts) and Chance Bell (40 yards on 11 carries, one TD) mounted the ground game in the defeat while Kobe Smith (five receptions, 40 yards) and Jesse Matthews (three catches, 32 yards) led the pass-catching attack.
Fresno State has run the ball on 51.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while San Diego State has an overall rush percentage of 60.7 percent. The Bulldogs have produced 177.8 rush yards/game (including 190.6 per game versus Mountain West opponents) and have 25 scores via handoffs this year. The Aztecs are logging 146.2 rush yards per game (137.5 in conference) and have eight total rushing TDs.
The Bulldogs offensive scheme has tallied 238 yards/game through the air overall (225 per game against conference opposition) and has 12 passing scores so far. The Aztecs have recorded 180.3 pass yards per outing (184 in the MWC) and have 10 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Fresno State has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 162.1 yards and pass for 260.3 yards per game. The San Diego State defense has allowed 211.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 65.3 yards per game on the ground. The Aztecs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.82 to opponents, while the Bulldogs have given up a 6.40 ANY/A.
Reyna probably has the edge over Agnew in this one, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 6.56for the year (and 9.73 over the last two games). Agnew’s ANY/A is 5.50 for the season and 4.53 over his past two outings.
When these two schools faced one another a year ago, Fresno State knocked San Diego State off by three field goals 23-14.
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. San Diego State Aztecs Betting Pick
SU Winner: Fresno State, ATS Winner: Fresno State, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The San Diego State defensive unit has created 21 sacks on the year while Fresno State has just 12.
- San Diego State has lost one fumble in 2019 while Fresno State has let seven get away.
- The Bulldogs offense has recorded five pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Aztecs have put up three such plays.
- The Fresno State defense has allowed 11 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while San Diego State has given up 10 such plays.
- The Fresno State offense has created 14 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while San Diego State has created four such runs.
- The Bulldogs defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Aztecs have given up four such runs.
- The O/U for San Diego State’s previous match was set at 40. The under cashed in that 17-13 defeat to Nevada.
- Over its last three games, San Diego State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- Over its last three matches, Fresno State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- The O/U for Fresno State’s last game going into it was 59.5. The over cashed in the team’s 37-35 defeat to Utah State.
- Fresno State has produced 6.0 yards per carry over its past three games and 5.9 over its last two.
- San Diego State has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.5 over its past two.
