UTSA Roadrunners at Texas State Bobcats College Football Free Pick

Victor TrejosArticles, College Football, Football

The Texas State Bobcats (+7) aren’t traveling far to face the UTSA Roadrunners at the Alamodome. The game gets underway at 7:00 p.m. ET and fans can view the action live on ESPN+.

Betting Preview: UTSA Roadrunners vs. Texas State Bobcats

Texas State is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 7 points. If they are wanting to take the moneyline, bettors would currently need to put down $300 in order to win $100 back on the Roadrunners (-300). The Bobcats are getting +220 moneyline odds. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 53 points, and if one school can find paydirt early on, it’ll probably generate a decent betting opportunity in-game.

Sharp bettors are siding with the Bobcats. The line opened at -11 and the game’s total has yet to move after being set initially at 53.

The Bobcats have lost 2.0 units so far and are 0-2-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 2-1.

The Roadrunners have lost 3.0 units this season. The team is 0-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-0.

The Bobcats are 1-2 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Roadrunners are 0-3 SU.

When these two squads faced each other last year, UTSA won soundly 44-14.

The Bobcats fell to South Alabama 41-31 in a matchup where Willie Jones III completed just 16 passes on 30 attempts for 205 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Jones III (58 rushing yards on 17 attempts, one TD) also spearheaded the ground attack and was complemented by Anthony D. Taylor (44 yards on 14 carries). Hutch White (two receptions, 46 yards, one TD) and Javen Banks (two catches, 82 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

UTSA just fell 41-17 to Kansas State. The team’s defense allowed the Wildcats to kill the clock by rushing for 164 yards on 44 attempts, including two rush TDs. Isaiah Zuber had a productive outing in the win for Kansas State, recording 144 yards and two touchdowns on seven catches. As a group, the Roadrunners collectively completed 19-of-34 passes for 157 yards and two touchdowns. Cordale Grundy went 14-for-23 for 108 yards and one touchdown while D.J. Gillins was five-of-11 for 49 yards and one touchdown. B.J. Daniels (47 yards on 16 rush attempts) led the running game while Greg Campbell Jr. (six receptions, 41 yards, one TD) and Blaze Moorhead (three catches, 33 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Texas State has run the ball on 60.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while UTSA has an overall rush percentage of 47.4 percent. The Bobcats have produced 177.7 rush yards per game and have three touchdowns on the ground this year. The Roadrunners are totaling 81.0 rushing yards per game and have two total rush TDs.

The Bobcats offense has logged 185.0 yards/game through the air overall and has three passing scores so far. The Roadrunners have recorded 177.3 pass yards per contest and also have three total pass TDs.

Defensively, Texas State appears to have the upper hand in both phases. The team has allowed 123.3 rush yards and 262.0 pass yards per game. The UTSA D has allowed 308.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 173.7 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bobcats are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.19 to opposing QBs, while the Roadrunners have allowed a staggering 12.11 ANY/A.

Offensively, Jones III has put up 284 passing yards this year, and has connected on 46 percent of his 50 attempts with two scores through the air and two interceptions. He’s got a 3.20 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 6.54 over the last two outings.

Cordale Grundy has completed 30-of-56 passes for 295 yards, one TD and one INT for UTSA. His ANY/A sits at a horrendous 3.60 for the season and 3.70 over his last two outings.

Texas State Bobcats at UTSA Roadrunners Betting Pick

SU Winner: UTSA, ATS Winner: UTSA, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends,

  • The Bobcats offense has recorded four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Roadrunners have accounted for zero such plays.
  • Both teams have allowed four pass plays of 40+ yards. The Texas State defense has given up six pass plays of 30+ yards while UTSA has given up nine such plays.
  • The Texas State offense has created five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while UTSA has created four such runs.
  • The Bobcats defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Roadrunners have given up four such runs.
  • The UTSA defense has created six sacks on the year while Texas State has two.
  • Texas State has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last two contests.
  • UTSA has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its last two.
  • In its last three matches, UTSA is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • Texas State was favored by 10 points in its last game and the Over/Under was 48.5. The over cashed and Texas State failed to cover in the 41-31 loss to South Alabama.
  • In its last three matches, Texas State is 0-2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • UTSA was favored by 20 points in its previous match and the Over/Under was set at 46.5. The over cashed and UTSA failed to cover in the 41-17 defeat to Kansas State.