Texas State Bobcats at New Mexico State Aggies Betting Pick

The New Mexico State Aggies and Texas State Bobcats are set to do battle on the turf at Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium. The matchup is scheduled to start at 7:00 p.m. ET and ESPN 3 will broadcast the action.

Betting Preview: Texas State Bobcats vs. New Mexico State Aggies

This Saturday pairing shows the Aggies as the dogs and they’re currently getting 3 points. The Aggies are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Bobcats are -140. It appears that there should be multiple good live betting possibilities for this game, and Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 58 points.

The Aggies have lost 1.6 units this season and are 2-6 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 6-2.

The hapless Bobcats have lost 6.0 units this year. They’re 3-3-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-4.

The Aggies are 2-6 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Bobcats are 1-6 SU.

The Aggies lost to Georgia Southern 48-31 in a blowout where Josh Adkins completed 25-of-38 passes for 295 yards and one interception. Christian Gibson (75 yards on 14 rushes, one TD) and Jason Huntley (68 yards on 12 carries, three TDs) led the running attack in the loss while Johnathan Boone (seven receptions, 71 yards) and Royce Caldwell (four catches, 64 yards) handled the receiving duties.

One week ago, Louisiana-Monroe got the victory against this Texas State crew by a score of 20-14. The Bobcats defense allowed the Warhawks to rush for 229 yards on 43 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Marcus Green had a good outing in the win, recording 62 rushing yards on four attempts for Louisiana-Monroe. For Texas State, Tyler Vitt completed 15-of-25 passes for 115 yards. Vitt (29 rushing yards on 11 attempts, one TD) and Robert Brown, Jr. (46 yards on 10 carries, one TD) handled the ground game in the defeat while Keenen Brown (four receptions, 50 yards) and Jeremiah Haydel (four catches, 17 yards) led the pass-catching corps.

New Mexico State’s run the ball on 42.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Texas State has an overall rush percentage of 55.1 percent. The Aggies have rushed for 106.6 yards per game and have 11 scores via handoffs this year. The Bobcats are logging 131.0 rush yards per game and have seven total rushing TDs.

The Aggies offensive scheme has logged 241.8 yards/game in the air overall and has 10 passing TDs so far. The Bobcats have produced 189.7 pass yards per outing and also have 10 total pass scores.

New Mexico State has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 273.3 yards and pass for 214.3 yards per game. The Texas State defense has allowed 188.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 176.4 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bobcats are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.21 to opponents, while the Aggies have given up a 7.00 ANY/A.

Adkins likely has the advantage over Vitt in this matchup, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 6.90for the season and 5.08 over his last two outings. Vitt’s ANY/A is 5.28 for the year and 3.58 over his last two games.

When these two squads met last year, New Mexico State got the victory over Texas State, 45-35.

New Mexico State Aggies at Texas State Bobcats NCAA Tip

SU Winner: New Mexico State, ATS Winner: New Mexico State, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

The New Mexico State defense has more than three times as many sacks as Texas State this year (22 to seven).

Both offenses have lost six fumbles this season.

The Aggies offense has tallied five pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Bobcats have accounted for four such plays.

The New Mexico State defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Texas State has given up five such plays.

Both teams have produced nine rushing plays of 20+ yards. The New Mexico State offense has recorded 30 running plays of 10+ yards while Texas State has accounted for 37 such plays.

The Aggies defense has allowed 19 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Bobcats have given up five such runs.

The O/U for Texas State’s last outing was 61. The under cashed in the team’s 20-14 loss to Louisiana-Monroe.

In its last three matches, Texas State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Over its last three games, New Mexico State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for New Mexico State’s previous game going into it was 52.5. The over cashed in the team’s 48-31 defeat to Georgia Southern.

New Mexico State has averaged 5.1 yards per rush attempt across its last three games and 4.5 over its last two.

Texas State has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.4 over its last two.