San Diego State Aztecs at Eastern Michigan Eagles College Football Free Betting Pick

Victor TrejosArticles, College Football, Football

The Aztecs (-11) are gearing up to welcome the Eastern Michigan Eagles to San Diego State. CBS Sports Network is scheduled to televise the action and the game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. San Diego State Aztecs

The Eagles approach this Saturday game as a significant dog here and are currently receiving 11 points. The Eagles are also receiving +325 moneyline odds while the Aztecs are -450. If one program gets out in front early it would produce a reasonable live betting scenario. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 47 points.

Square bettors are siding with the Aztecs, as the opening line was -10. The O/U hasn’t moved after being initially posted at 47.

The profitable Eagles have gained 4.5 units so far and are 2-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 1-1.

The Aztecs are up 0.8 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-2.

The Eagles are 2-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Aztecs are also 2-1 SU.

The Eagles fell to Buffalo 35-28 in a matchup where the Eagles completed 25-of-38 passes for 348 yards and two touchdowns. Mike Glass III went 17-for-27 for 284 yards and two touchdowns while Tyler Wiegers completed eight-of-11 for 64 yards. Glass III (69 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) also led the ground attack and was complemented by Shaq Vann (30 yards on 10 carries, one TD). Blake Banham (nine receptions, 159 yards, one TD) and Mathew Sexton (three catches, 42 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

San Diego State enter this Saturday’s matchup having just earned a 28-21 win over Arizona State. The team’s defensive secondary allowed the Sun Devils to air it out for 341 yards and two touchdowns. Frank Darby was a bright spot in the loss for Arizona State, recording 127 yards on five catches. For San Diego State, Ryan Agnew completed 12-of-24 passes for 129 yards and one touchdown. Juwan Washington (138 rushing yards on 27 attempts, one TD) and Chase Jasmin (112 yards on 19 carries, one TD) mounted the running game as Kahale Warring (four receptions, 30 yards) and Ethan Dedeaux (two catches, 30 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Eastern Michigan has run the ball on 53.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while San Diego State has an overall rush percentage of 67.6 percent. The Eagles have produced 127.3 rush yards per game and have five touchdowns on the ground this year. The Aztecs are averaging 206.3 rush yards per game and have six total rushing TDs.

If 2018 numbers are any indication, then it’s looking like the Aztecs might own the edge in terms of RB efficiency. Their backfield has generated 4.4 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 1.7 to opponents. The Eagles have registered 3.4 yards per carry while allowing 5.9 YPC to opponents.

The Eagles offensive scheme has averaged 332.3 yards in the air overall and has eight passing scores so far. The Aztecs have recorded 171.0 pass yards per outing and have only one pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Eastern Michigan seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 230.7 rush yards and 219.7 pass yards per game. The San Diego State D has given up 284.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 46.3 yards per game to opposing runners. The Eagles are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.70 to opposing QBs, while the Aztecs have allowed an ugly 8.81 ANY/A.

Offensively, Wiegers is up to 302 passing yards on the year. The signal-caller has connected on 81 percent of his 32 attempts with two scores through the air and has yet to throw an interception. Wiegers has a 9.50 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 6.67 over the last two games.

Ryan Agnew has completed 12-of-24 passes for 129 yards, one TD and zero INTs for San Diego State. His ANY/A sits at 5.68 for the year and 5.02 over his last two outings.

Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. San Diego State Aztecs NCAA Tip

SU Winner: San Diego State, ATS Winner: San Diego State, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes,

  • The Eagles offense has tallied four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Aztecs have put up zero such plays.
  • Both teams have allowed four pass plays of 40+ yards. The Eastern Michigan defense has given up four pass plays of 30+ yards while San Diego State has given up seven such plays.
  • The Eastern Michigan offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while San Diego State has created six such runs.
  • The Eagles defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Aztecs have given up zero such runs.
  • The San Diego State defense has notched seven sacks on the year while Eastern Michigan has four.
  • Eastern Michigan, as a team, has averaged 2.9 yards per carry over its last two matchups.
  • San Diego State has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last two.