Oregon State Beavers vs. Arizona Wildcats Free Preview

Victor TrejosArticles, College Football, Football

The Arizona Wildcats (-6.5) and Oregon State Beavers will square off on the turf at Reser Stadium. Pac-12 Networks has the TV rights and this afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 4:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Oregon State Beavers vs. Arizona Wildcats

Oregon State is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 6.5 points. The Wildcats are also receiving -270 moneyline odds while the Beavers are +210. If one squad can catch a lucky break early it will create a reasonable live betting scenario. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) pretty highly at 75.5 points.

This game’s opening line was 7. The total hasn’t changed since it opened at 75.5.

The disappointing Wildcats have lost 5.8 units so far and are 1-2 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an Over-Under record of 0-2.

The Beavers have gained 0.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-1 ATS and own an O/U record of 3-0.

The Wildcats are 1-2 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any Pac-12 competition yet. The Beavers are 1-2 SU overall and are also 0-0 SU in conference play.

The Wildcats want to make it two in a row 62-31 victory over Southern Utah last weekTheir defense allowed the Thunderbirds to run for 193 yards on 54 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. Jay Green Jr. had a good day for the Thunderbirds in that one with 78 rushing yards and a score on 15 attempts. Offensively, Khalil Tate completed 13-of-20 passes for 349 yards and five touchdowns. Gary Brightwell (86 yards on nine rush attempts) and Anthony Mariscal (60 yards on nine carries, one TD) led the ground attack in the win while Shun Brown (five receptions, 97 yards, two TDs) and Tony Ellison (four catches, 111 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties.

One week ago, Nevada got the victory against this Oregon State team by a score of 37-35. The Beavers defense let the Wolf Pack kill the clock by running for 156 yards on 30 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Toa Taua put up a good showing in the win, recording 81 rushing yards and a score on 12 attempts for Nevada. As a group, the Beavers collectively completed 35-of-56 passes for 459 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Jake Luton went 23-for-35 for 284 yards, one touchdown and one interception while Conor Blount was 12-of-20 for 175 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Jermar Jefferson (106 rushing yards on 25 attempts, two TDs) handled the ground game in the defeat as Isaiah Hodgins (14 receptions, 200 yards, two TDs) and Timmy Hernandez (11 catches, 116 yards) led the receiving attack.

Breaking down the offensive play-calling, each squad has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Arizona has run the ball on 53.7 percent of its offensive possessions while Oregon State has a rush percentage of 52.8. The Wildcats have produced 182.3 rush yards per game and have six touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Beavers are putting up 212.3 rush yards per game and have 10 total rushing TDs.

The Wildcats offense has averaged 312.0 yards through the air overall and has six passing scores so far. The Beavers have recorded 314.7 pass yards per game and have five total pass TDs.

Defensively, Arizona should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 224.3 yards and pass for 244.3 yards per game. The Oregon State defense has allowed 295.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 226.3 yards per game on the ground. The Wildcats are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.00 to opposing QBs, while the Beavers have given up a 7.91 ANY/A.

Offensively, Tate is up to 546 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 56 percent of his 54 attempts with six passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. He has a sparkling 11.89 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 10.77 over the last two outings.

For the home team, Conor Blount has completed 24-of-39 passes for 344 yards, three TDs and one INT. Blount’s ANY/A stands at 6.48 for the season and 8.20 across his past two games.

These two teams faced off last year with the final result being a 49-28 win for Arizona.

Arizona Wildcats vs. Oregon State Beavers NCAA Prediction

SU Winner: Oregon State, ATS Winner: Oregon State, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends,

  • The Wildcats offense has tallied two pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Beavers have put up three such plays.
  • The Arizona defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Oregon State has given up two such plays.
  • The Arizona offense has created two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Oregon State has created 10 such runs.
  • The Wildcats defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Beavers have given up seven such runs.
  • The Oregon State defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs three times this year. Arizona has produced two sacks.
  • Arizona, as a team, has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last two games.
  • Oregon State has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last two.
  • Over its last three games, Oregon State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • Arizona was favored by 27 points in its last game. The team covered that spread in the 62-31 win over Southern Utah.
  • Oregon State was favored by 4 points in its last matchup and the Over/Under was set at 68. The over cashed and Oregon State failed to cover in that 37-35 loss to Nevada.