In a battle of two teams that like to run the football, Head Coach Mario Cristobal and the Oregon Ducks (-14.5) are set to take on the Oregon State Beavers at Reser Stadium. FS1 owns the TV rights and kickoff will take place at 4:00 p.m. ET.,
Betting Preview: Oregon Ducks at Oregon State Beavers
Oregon State is a live dog and is currently getting 14.5 points in this Pac-12 matchup. The Ducks are also receiving -750 moneyline odds while the Beavers are +510. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 68.5 points, and if one squad can create a bunch of points early, it will likely produce a reasonable in-game betting opportunity.,
The Ducks are 4-7 against the spread (ATS) and are down 1.9 units so far in 2018. The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 5-6.,
The Beavers have lost 4.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 4-7 ATS and the over has hit in eight of their games.,
The Ducks are 7-4 straight up (SU), including 4-4 SU against Pac-12 opponents. The Beavers are 2-9 SU overall and 1-7 SU in conference play.,
When these two schools faced one another a year ago, Oregon knocked off Oregon easily 69-10.,
The Ducks enter after a 31-29 victory over Arizona State last weekTheir defense allowed the Sun Devils to rush for 142 yards on 41 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Eno Benjamin had a productive day for the Sun Devils in that one with 149 rushing yards on 29 attempts. Offensively, Justin Herbert completed only 19-of-34 passes for 262 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Travis Dye (105 yards on 18 rush attempts) and CJ Verdell (70 yards on 14 carries, one TD) provided the running attack while Jaylon Redd (five receptions, 69 yards) and Dillon Mitchell (four catches, 103 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.,
A week ago, Washington knocked off this Oregon State crew by a score of 42-23. The Beavers defense allowed the Huskies to kill the clock by running for 275 yards on 42 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. Myles Gaskin was on a different level for Washington, recording 135 rushing yards and a score on 18 attempts. For Oregon State, Jake Luton completed 18-of-32 passes for 190 yards and one touchdown. Jermar Jefferson (115 yards on 19 rush attempts) led the running game as Trevon Bradford (four receptions, 62 yards) and Timmy Hernandez (four catches, 45 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.,
In terms of offensive play-calling, each team has a remarkably similar (54-46) run-pass ratio on the season. The Ducks have produced 173.0 rush yards per game (including 157.6 per game against Pac-12 opponents) and have 22 scores on the ground this year. The Beavers are averaging 164.8 rush yards per game (147.0 in conference) and have 23 total rushing TDs.,
Judging by the numbers so far, it seems like the Ducks ought to own an advantage when it comes to effectiveness in the ground game, as their running backs has produced 4.3 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.9 to opponents. The Beavers have rushed for 4.0 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 6.8 to opponents.,
The Ducks offense has averaged 267.1 yards through the air overall (258.9 per game versus conference opposition) and has 27 passing scores so far. The Beavers have produced 246.2 pass yards per contest (221 against Pac-12 competition) and have 15 total pass TDs.,
Defensively, Oregon seems to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 151.2 rush yards and 244.3 pass yards per game. The Oregon State D has allowed 267.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 271.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Ducks are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.99 to opposing QBs, while the Beavers have allowed a whopping 9.17 ANY/A.,
Offensively, Herbert has amassed 2,595 passing yards this season, and has connected on 59 percent of his 326 attempts with 24 scores through the air and eight interceptions. He’s got a 7.76 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.32 over the last two outings.,
The Ducks will likely try to control tempo by putting the ball into the hands of their running backs. In addition to wideout Dillon Mitchell (936 receiving yards and seven touchdowns), CJ Verdell (760 rush yards, six rush TDs, 227 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Travis Dye (456 rush yards, two rush TDs) have been focal points in the offensive game scripts for Oregon.,
Jake Luton has connected on 105-of-161 passes for 1,173 yards, six TDs and one INT for Oregon State. His ANY/A sits at 6.57 for the year and 5.81 over his past two games.,
The Beavers also like to keep their running backs featured. In addition to Jermar Jefferson (155 receiving yards), Trevon Bradford (121 rush yards, 458 receiving yards, five receiving TDs) and Isaiah Hodgins (706 receiving yards and five TDs) have gotten plenty of action recently.,
Oregon Ducks vs. Oregon State Beavers Free Pick
SU Winner: Oregon, ATS Winner: Oregon, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- The Ducks offense has recorded 10 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Beavers have put up eight such plays.,
- The Oregon defense has allowed 10 pass plays of 40+ yards, while Oregon State has given up nine such plays.,
- The Oregon offense has created 13 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Oregon State has created 23 such runs.,
- The Ducks defense has allowed 17 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Beavers have given up 37 such runs.,
- The Oregon D has sacked opposing quarterbacks 24 times this year. Oregon State has produced just 13 sacks.,
- As a team, Oregon has produced 4.4 yards per carry across its last three games and 4.2 over its last two.,
- Oregon State has averaged 3.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.4 over its past two.,
- Over its last three matches, Oregon State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.,
- The O/U for Oregon’s last game was set at 66. The under cashed in the team’s 31-29 victory over Arizona State.,
- In its last three contests, Oregon is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.,
- The Over/Under for Oregon State’s previous outing was 58.5. The over cashed in the 42-23 defeat to Washington.,
- Oregon State has lost nine of its last 10 games SU, with a seven-point victory over Colorado on October 27th accounting for the one win over that stretch.
