Ole Miss Rebels vs. Kent State Golden Flashes College Football Free ATS Pick

Victor TrejosArticles, College Football, Football

The Rebels (-29) are gearing up to welcome the Kent State Golden Flashes to Ole Miss. SEC Network has the TV rights and this afternoon matchup is scheduled to kick off at 12:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Ole Miss Rebels vs. Kent State Golden Flashes

Kent State is a big road underdog here and is currently getting 29 points from oddsmakers. This game is projected as a toss-up, and Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) pretty highly at 75.5 points.

The line opened at -25 but has recently moved lower to -29. The game’s total hasn’t changed after it was set initially at 75.5.

The Golden Flashes have gained 0.0 units so far in 2018 and are 2-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 2-1.

The Rebels have gained 1.0 unit this season. The team is 2-1 ATS and also owns an O/U record of 2-1.

The Golden Flashes have gone 1-2 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Rebels are 2-1 SU.

The Golden Flashes fell to Penn State 63-10 in a thumping where the defense allowed the Nittany Lions to pass for 346 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 297 yards and six scores. Miles Sanders had a productive day for the opposition in that one with 86 rushing yards on 14 attempts. On the offense, Woody Barrett completed just 20 passes on 38 attempts for 176 yards and one touchdown. Barrett (-18 rushing yards on 16 attempts) also led the ground attack in the loss and was complemented by Jo-el Shaw (22 yards on 10 carries). Antwan Dixon (five receptions, 59 yards) and Isaiah McKoy (three catches, 21 yards) shared the receiving duties.

One week ago, Alabama got the victory against this Ole Miss crew by a score of 62-7. The Rebels defense allowed the Crimson Tide to pass for 306 yards and four touchdowns while rushing for 210 yards and three scores. Jerry Jeudy had a good outing in the win, recording 136 yards and two touchdowns on three catches for Alabama. For Ole Miss, Jordan Ta’amu completed seven-of-22 passes for 133 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Scottie Phillips (44 rushing yards on 12 attempts) led the ground game in the defeat while A.J. Brown (four receptions, 34 yards) and D.K. Metcalf (two catches, 92 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack.

Kent State’s run the ball on 54.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Ole Miss has an overall rush percentage of 52.2 percent. The Golden Flashes have produced 193.0 rush yards/game and have seven touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Rebels are logging 164.0 rush yards per game and have six total rushing TDs.

The Golden Flashes offensive scheme has averaged 202.0 yards through the air overall and has four passing scores so far. The Rebels have recorded 316.0 pass yards per contest and have eight total pass TDs.

Defensively, Kent State should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 213.7 yards and pass for 247.0 yards per game. The Ole Miss defense has given up 338.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 205.0 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Golden Flashes have given up an ANY/A of 7.68 to opposing QBs, while the Rebels are yielding an ANY/A of 7.84.

Offensively, Barrett has amassed 446 passing yards this year, and has connected on 48-of-79 attempts with three passing scores and two interceptions. He’s got a 4.22 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 3.70 over the last two games.

Jordan Ta’amu has completed 29-of-54 passes for 469 yards, three TDs and two INTs for Ole Miss. His ANY/A stands at 6.80 for the year and 9.80 across his last two games.

Kent State Golden Flashes at Ole Miss Rebels Free NCAA Betting Tip

SU Winner: Ole Miss, ATS Winner: Kent State, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • The Golden Flashes offense has produced two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Rebels have put up nine such plays.
  • The Kent State defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Ole Miss has given up two such plays.
  • The Kent State offense has created six rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Ole Miss has created five such runs.
  • The Golden Flashes defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Rebels have given up four such runs.
  • The Kent State D has eight sacks on the year while Ole Miss has just two.
  • As a team, Kent State has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its last two games.
  • Ole Miss has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last two.