Two schools that like running the football, Head Coach Geoff Collins and the Temple Owls (+10) are set to take on the No. 9 Ucf Knights (-10) at Spectrum Stadium. Fans can catch the action live on ESPN and kickoff for this pivotal AAC matchup is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Temple Owls vs. UCF Knights
Temple is a significant road underdog in this AAC matchup and is currently receiving 10 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline bettors would currently need to lay down $400 to win $100 back on the Knights (-400). The Owls are getting +300 moneyline odds. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 56.5 points, and if one program can create a bunch of points early, it will probably produce a reasonable live betting scenario.
The line originally opened at -12 and the game’s O/U was initially set at 54.5, so early action has leaned toward both the Owls and the over.
The Owls are 6-2 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 0.1 units so far. The team has recorded an Over-Under mark of 3-4.
The surprising Knights are up 3.0 units this season. The team is 5-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-5.
The perfect Owls are 5-3 straight up (SU), including 4-0 SU against conference opponents. The Knights are 7-0 SU overall and are also 4-0 SU in conference play.
These two schools faced off last year with the final result being a 45-19 victory for UCF.
The Owls look to keep it rolling after a 24-17 win over Cincinnati on October 20. Anthony Russo completed just 20-of-41 passes for 237 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. Jager Gardner (56 yards on 15 rush attempts) spearheaded the ground attack while Wright (five receptions, 54 yards, one TD) and Randle Jones (five catches, 67 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.
UCF is coming off of a 37-10 win over East Carolina back in Week 8. Darriel Mack Jr. completed 12-of-20 passes for 69 yards. Mack Jr. (120 rushing yards on 22 attempts, one TD) and Adrian Killins Jr. (44 yards on 15 carries) handled the running game as Tre Nixon (four receptions, 21 yards) and Michael Colubiale (three catches, 28 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Temple has run the ball on 51.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while UCF has an overall rush percentage of 57.6 percent. The Owls have produced 133.8 rush yards/game (including 138.3 per game versus American Athletic Conference opponents) and have 12 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Knights are averaging 261.1 rush yards per game (258.3 in conference) and have 22 total rushing TDs.
The Owls offense has averaged 239.1 yards in the air overall (235.8 per game versus conference opposition) and has 14 passing TDs so far. The Knights have put up 276.0 pass yards per game (262 in the AAC) and have 17 total pass scores.
Defensively, Temple appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 183.0 rush yards and 147.5 pass yards per game. The UCF D has given up 212.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 182.9 yards per game on the ground. The Owls are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.02 to opposing QBs, while the Knights have given up a 4.49 ANY/A.
Offensively, Russo has put up 1,110 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 53 percent of his 160 attempts with eight scores through the air and nine interceptions. He’s got a 5.17 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.90 over the last two games.
For the home team, McKenzie Milton has managed to complete 119-of-200 passes for 1,797 yards, 16 TDs and four INTs. Milton’s ANY/A stands at 9.21 for the year and 8.70 over his past two outings.
Temple Owls vs. UCF Knights Free Pick
SU Winner: UCF, ATS Winner: UCF, O/U: Under