Missouri Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogs NCAA Football Free Betting Pick

Victor TrejosArticles, College Football, Football

The Missouri Tigers are taking on the No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs in a showdown where one winning streak will reach four games. This vital afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 12:00 p.m. ET and ESPN has the TV rights.

Betting Preview: Georgia Bulldogs at Missouri Tigers

Missouri is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 14.5 points. The Bulldogs are also receiving -750 moneyline odds while the Tigers are +510. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 61.5 points. If Georgia starts trailing early, it would likely result in a nice betting opportunity in-game.

Square bettors have been hammering both the Bulldogs and the under. This game’s line initially opened at 13.5 and the total was originally 63.5.

The Bulldogs are 2-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.0 unit this season. The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 1-1.

The Tigers are up 2.0 units so far. The team is 2-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-0.

The Bulldogs have gone 3-0 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against conference opponents. The Tigers are 3-0 SU overall and 0-0 SU in conference play.

The Dawgs are hoping to stay undefeated after a 49-7 win over Middle Tennessee last weekTheir defense allowed the Blue Raiders to run for 158 yards on 38 rush attempts. Terelle West had a productive day for the Blue Raiders in that one with 74 rushing yards on 17 attempts. On the offense, the Bulldogs completed 17-of-21 passes for 223 yards and four touchdowns. Jake Fromm went 10-for-12 for 128 yards and three touchdowns while Justin Fields completed six-of-eight for 71 yards and one touchdown. Elijah Holyfield (100 rushing yards on eight attempts) led the ground attack in the win while Mecole Hardman (four receptions, 21 yards, one TD) and Isaac Nauta (four catches, 47 yards) handled the receiving duties.

Missouri is coming off of a 40-37 win over Purdue. The team’s defensive secondary let the Boilermakers air it out for 572 yards and three touchdowns. Rondale Moore was a bright spot in the defeat, posting 137 yards on 11 catches for Purdue. For Missouri, Drew Lock completed 26-of-43 passes for 375 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Larry Rountree III (168 rushing yards on 23 attempts) and Tyler Badie (61 yards on 12 carries) mounted the ground game in the win as Jalen Knox (five receptions, 110 yards, one TD) and Nate Brown (five catches, 48 yards) led the receiving corps.

Georgia has run the ball on 64.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Missouri has an overall rush percentage of 52.7 percent. The Bulldogs have run for 272.0 yards/game and have eight scores via handoffs this year. The Tigers are logging 200.0 rush yards per game and have four total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Tigers ought to have the edge along both the offensive and defensive fronts, as their offensive line has given up just one sacks while their D-line has registered five sacks. The Bulldogs O-line has allowed four sacks and their defense has sacked opposing signal-callerss just once.

The Dawgs offense has tallied 216.3 yards/contest through the air overall and has eight passing scores so far. The Tigers have recorded a superb 389.0 pass yards per outing and have 11 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Georgia appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 101.0 rush yards and 157.7 pass yards per game. The Missouri defense has allowed 305.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 74.7 yards per game on the ground. The Dawgs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.95 to opponents, while the Tigers have given up a 7.81 ANY/A.

Offensively, Fromm is up to 285 passing yards this year, and has completed 22-of-28 attempts with five passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. Fromm has a sparkling 12.47 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 9.76 over the past two games.

In the hosts’ locker room, Drew Lock has completed 45-of-68 passes for 664 yards, seven TDs and one INT. Lock’s ANY/A sits at 10.77 for the year and 9.57 over his past two outings.

When these two squads faced one another a year ago, Georgia won handily 53-28.

Georgia Bulldogs vs. Missouri Tigers NCAA Prediction

SU Winner: Missouri, ATS Winner: Missouri, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • Each team has lost one fumble this year.
  • The Missouri defensive unit has notched five sacks on the year while Georgia has one.
  • Georgia, as a team, has averaged 6.1 yards per carry over its last two games.
  • Missouri has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last two.
  • Georgia was favored by 34 points in its previous game and the Over/Under was 59.5. The under cashed and Georgia covered in the 49-7 win over Middle Tennessee.
  • Missouri was the underdog by 6 points in its last outing and the Over/Under going into it was 67. The over cashed and Missouri covered in the 40-37 triumph over Purdue.